Question 132865
To predict the number of deaths in 2005, substitute {{{5}}} for {{{x}}} and then solve.

So:
{{{y = -1777(5) + 27153}}}
{{{y = -8885 + 27153}}}
{{{y = 18268}}} in 2005

Use a similar approach for 2009


The last question asks, when will the number of deaths be 9383.
In this problem, you are given the number of deaths and asked to estimate what year the model predicts. So, this time, we are given the {{{y}}} value and asked to solve for {{{x}}}

{{{y = -1777x + 27153}}}  substitute 9383 for y
{{{9383 = -1777x + 27153}}}
{{{ -17770 = - 1777x }}}
yielding x = 10 
Which then implies the year will be 2010