Question 120323
Look at it this way:


Let x be the amount of the initial investment.


If Wilma gets 4.5% annual return, then the first year she gets .045x dollars in interest, so the total amount in her account at the end of the first year is x + .045x dollars.  Another way to write that is {{{x(1+0.045)=B[1]}}}, where {{{B[1]}}} is the balance at the end of 1 year.


At the end of the second year, where she will have started with {{{x(1+0.045)}}}, she will have {{{x(1+0.045)(1+0.045)}}}, and so on, through the years, multiplying the previous amount by an additional factor of {{{1+0.045}}} each year.


Shorthand for multiplying several identical factors is raising that factor to a power, so at the end of two years she will have {{{x(1+0.045)^2}}}, at the end of three years she will have {{{x(1+0.045)^3}}}, and finally at the end of 45 years she will have {{{x(1+0.045)^45}}}.


We want this amount to be $2 Million.  So set the expression equal to 2000000.


{{{x(1+0.045)^45=2000000}}}


Now solve:


{{{x=2000000/((1+0.045)^45)}}}


Plugging these values into a spreadsheet gives {{{x=275928.73}}}


The only way to check this answer conveniently is to compare the answer to an estimate and see if it is reasonable.  To do this, there is a convenient rule of thumb called the Rule of 72.  The Rule of 72 says that if you divide the number 72 by the annual rate of return, you get an approximation of the number of years it takes for your principal to double.


{{{72/4.5=16}}}, which means that an investment at 4.5% should double every 16 years.


First 16 years:  {{{275928.73*2=551857.46}}}
2nd 16 years:  {{{551857.46*2=1103714.93}}}
3rd 16 years: {{{1103714.93*2=2207429.86}}}


{{{16 * 3=48}}}, so using the rule of 72, you should have about $2.2 million after 48 years at 4.5%.  $2 million after 45 years seems rather reasonable.


Hope this helps,
John