Question 753684
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Impossible to answer.  If the 15 applicants for the job were ABSOLUTELY IDENTICAL in their qualifications and ABSOLUTELY EQUAL regarding every other parameter that might be considered by the hiring manager, then the probability would be *[tex \LARGE \frac{7}{15}].  But since the probability of finding 15 utterly identical human beings -- at least identical with regard to everything the hiring manager will consider -- is virtually zero, there is an undetermined and undeterminable factor that must be applied.  After all, how many nephews can the hiring manager have?  The best you can do is say that *[tex \LARGE 0\ \leq\ P(A)\ \leq\ 1] where *[tex \LARGE P(A)] is the probability that you will get hired.  I included 0 to cover the case where the manager darned well better hire his wife's sister's son if he knows what is good for him, and included 1 in the case where you, yourself, are the nephew/niece.


John
*[tex \LARGE e^{i\pi}\ +\ 1\ =\ 0]
<font face="Math1" size="+2">Egw to Beta kai to Sigma</font>
My calculator said it, I believe it, that settles it
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