SOLUTION: What is the probability that 15 rolls of a fair die will show 5 threes?

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Question 975208: What is the probability that 15 rolls of a fair die will show 5 threes?




Found 3 solutions by Boreal, solver91311, Edwin McCravy:
Answer by Boreal(15235) About Me  (Show Source):
You can put this solution on YOUR website!
Probability of a 3 is (1/6)
This is a binomial with 15C5*(1/6)^5*(5/6)^10 = 0.0624
There are 15 rolls and 3003 different ways 5 threes can come up.
The overall probability is that time (1/6)^5 times and (5/6)^10 times.
The expected value would be 2.5, so this is reasonable.
While the numbers are too small to use the normal approximation, the variance is np(1-p)=75/36
The standard deviation would be about 1.35.
This is about 2 sd s above the mean, so again it is in the range of what one would expect.





Answer by solver91311(24713) About Me  (Show Source):
You can put this solution on YOUR website!


Exactly 5 threes:





At most 5 threes:




At least 5 threes:



John

My calculator said it, I believe it, that settles it

Answer by Edwin McCravy(20060) About Me  (Show Source):
You can put this solution on YOUR website!
I think what you want is a binomial probability, not what the others gave you.

%28NCx%29%28p%29%5Ex%2A%281-p%29%5E%2815-x%29

N = number of trials = 15
x = number of times out of those to succeed = 5
p = the probability of 1 success in 1 trial = 1/6
NCx = %22%22=%22%22

15C5 = 

%2815C5%29%281%2F6%29%5E5%281-1%2F6%29%5E%2815-5%29%22%22=%22%220.0623715619

Or else on TI-83 or 84

Press 2ND, 
Press VARS, 
scroll down to highlight binompdf(,
Press ENTER

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If you have newer model, make it read

     trials: 15 
     p:1/6 
     x value:5
     Paste
     
Highlight Paste

press ENTER

You will see

binompdf(15,1/6,5)

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If you have older model, you just see 

binompdf( 

make it read

binompdf(15,1/6,5)

--------------------

press ENTER 

Read .0623715619

Edwin