SOLUTION: Suppose that you select 3 cards without replacement from a standard deck of 52 playing cards. a) If the first card that you select is a king and the second is a two, what is th

Algebra ->  Probability-and-statistics -> SOLUTION: Suppose that you select 3 cards without replacement from a standard deck of 52 playing cards. a) If the first card that you select is a king and the second is a two, what is th      Log On


   



Question 880839: Suppose that you select 3 cards without replacement from a standard deck of 52 playing cards.
a) If the first card that you select is a king and the second is a two, what is the probability that the third card that you select is a king?
b) If the first card that you select is a four, what is the probability that the second card that you
select is a spade?

Answer by Edwin McCravy(20055) About Me  (Show Source):
You can put this solution on YOUR website!
Suppose that you select 3 cards without replacement from a standard deck of 52 playing cards.
a) If the first card that you select is a king and the second is a two,
Then you have a deck of 50 cards, with only three twos and three kings.

what is the probability that the third card that you select is a king?
3 kings out of 50 = 3%2F50

b) If the first card that you select is a four,
what is the probability that the second card that you select is a spade?

You can look at this an easy way or a hard way.  

Easy way:  Since you don't know what the suit of the first card was, it's
no more or less likely that the second card will be one suit than that it 
will be any other suit,  so the probability is just 1%2F4 that it will
be a spade.
 
Hard way:  If the 4 is a spade there are 12 spades among the 51,
but if the 4 is not a spade, there are 13 spades among the 51. 

P(spade second) = 

P[(the 4 is a spade AND spade 2nd) OR (the 4 is not a spade AND spade 2nd) 

Remember that "AND" implies "multiplication" and "OR" implies "ADDITION":

P(the 4 is a spade)*P(spade 2nd in that case) + P(the 4 is not a spade)*P(spade 2nd in that case)

%281%2F4%29%2812%2F51%29%22%22%2B%22%22%283%2F4%29%2813%2F51%29%22%22=%22%22 

12%2F204%22%22%2B%22%2239%2F204%22%22=%22%2251%2F204%22%22=%22%221%2F4

That's harder, but it demonstrates that the easy way is correct.

Edwin