| 
 
 
| Question 712456:  A and B  alternatively toss a coin. The first one to turn up a head wins. If no more than five tosses are allowed for a single game, find the probability that the person who tosses first will win the game. What are the odds against A's loosing if he goes first?
 I think A has a greater chance to win, if he goes first, because A will have 5 turns, while B will have 4 turns only. So, A will have a head start by 1 turn. So, it's more likely that A will win.
 p(A get first Head) = (1/2)^5/{(1/2)^5+(1/2)^4}=1/3
 Probability that A will win (since A tosses first) is 1/3. However, correct answer is 21/32. And for part b, answer is 21:11. Thank you for your help.
 Answer by stanbon(75887)
      (Show Source): 
You can put this solution on YOUR website! A and B alternatively toss a coin. The first one to turn up a head wins. If no more than five tosses are allowed for a single game, find the probability that the person who tosses first will win the game. What are the odds against A's loosing if he goes first? I think A has a greater chance to win, if he goes first, because A will have 5 turns, while B will have 4 turns only. So, A will have a head start by 1 turn. So, it's more likely that A will win.
 -----
 If A tosses 1st his winning patterns are:
 h (after that game is over) ; probability of this is 1/2
 tth (after that game is over) ; probability of this is 1/8
 tttth (after that game is over) ; probability of this is 1/32
 ---------------------------
 p(A gets first Head) = p(h or tth or tttth) = (1/2) + 1/8 + 1/32
 = [16 + 4 + 1)/32 = 21/32
 P(B gets first head when A tosses 1st) = P(th or ttth) = 1/4 + 1/16 = 5/16
 ====================================
 Odd's against A's winning if A tosses 1st are (31/32)/(1/32) = 31:1
 Odd's against B's winning if A tosses 1st ae (11/16)/(5/16) = 11:5
 =====================================
 =======================================================
 Cheers,
 Stan H.
 ==============
 
 | 
  
 | 
 |