| 
 
 
| Question 427435:  Suppose a company wants to do random drug testing of its employees and that 2% of the employees use illegal drugs. If the test for detecting drug use is given to people who use illegal drugs, it returns a positive result 99% of the time. When the test is given to people who do not use drugs, it returns a positive result 6% of the time. What is the probability that an employee who receives a positive test result actually does NOT use drugs? (hint..use a tree using "user" and "non-user" instead of "ill" and "healthy") Round to four decimal places.
 There are 20 grapefruit in a basket. 9 are sweet, and 11 are sour. If you select 2 at random,what is the probability that they will all be sweet? (Round the answer to four decimal places.)
 Answer by stanbon(75887)
      (Show Source): 
You can put this solution on YOUR website! Suppose a company wants to do random drug testing of its employees and that 2% of the employees use illegal drugs.
 If the test for detecting drug use is given to people who use illegal drugs, it returns a positive result 99% of the time.
 When the test is given to people who do not use drugs, it returns a positive result 6% of the time.
 What is the probability that an employee who receives a positive test result actually does NOT use drugs?
 (hint..use a tree using "user" and "non-user" instead of "ill" and "healthy") Round to four decimal places.
 ---------------------
 P(nonuse|+) = P(non AND +)/[P(+ AND non)+P(+ AND use)
 ---
 = [P(+|non)*P(non)/[P(+|non)*P(non)+P(+|use)*P(use)
 ---
 = [0.06*0.98]/[same + 0.99*0.02]
 = [0.0588]/[0.0588+0.0198]
 = 0.7481
 =================
 There are 20 grapefruit in a basket. 9 are sweet, and 11 are sour. If you select 2 at random,what is the probability that they will all be sweet? (Round the answer to four decimal places.)
 ---
 P(2 sweet) = 9C2/20C2 = 0.1895
 ===========
 Cheers,
 Stan H.
 ==========
 
 | 
  
 | 
 |