SOLUTION: A local medical research association proposes to sponsor a footrace. The average time it takes to run the course is 45.8 minutes with a standard deviation of 3.6 minutes. If the as
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Question 360241: A local medical research association proposes to sponsor a footrace. The average time it takes to run the course is 45.8 minutes with a standard deviation of 3.6 minutes. If the association decides to include only the top 25% of the racers, what should be the cut off time in the tryout run? Assume the variable is normally distributed. Would a person who runs the course in 40 minutes qualify?
You can put this solution on YOUR website! In this case, we only need to find the running time that corresponds with the LOWER 25% z-score (since the lower times are the better times)! Tricky, tricky!
Remember, the z-score is simply (x-xbar)/s where xbar is the mean, x is our value of interest, and s is the standard deviation.
So first we need to find the z-score that corresponds with the lower 25% value. We can do this in several ways, by consulting z-score tables or z-score calculators.
My z-score calculator tells me we are looking for the z-score of about -0.67 to capture 25% of values to the left and 75% of values to the right.
Then we just need to convert this z-score back into a running time, like this:
Therefore our cutoff time should be about 43.388 minutes.
Notice that even though 43.388 is less than the mean, it still reflects the point where the upper 25% of the values end. This is kind of tricky, because usually the higher numbers are associated with the "upper" values.
It should be immediately obvious that a runner who runs the course in 40 minutes (which is LESS than the 43.388 cutoff time) on the tryout run should qualify for the race!