SOLUTION: If a gambler rolls two dice and gets a sum of 7, he wins $10, and if he gets a sum of 4, he wins $20. The cost to play the game is $5. What is the expectation (to the nearest cent)

Algebra ->  Probability-and-statistics -> SOLUTION: If a gambler rolls two dice and gets a sum of 7, he wins $10, and if he gets a sum of 4, he wins $20. The cost to play the game is $5. What is the expectation (to the nearest cent)      Log On


   



Question 283657: If a gambler rolls two dice and gets a sum of 7, he wins $10, and if he gets a sum of 4, he wins $20. The cost to play the game is $5. What is the expectation (to the nearest cent) of this game?
Answer by Edwin McCravy(20060) About Me  (Show Source):
You can put this solution on YOUR website!
If a gambler rolls two dice and gets a sum of 7, he wins $10, and if he gets a sum of 4, he wins $20. The cost to play the game is $5. What is the expectation (to the nearest cent) of this game?

There are three possible outcomes of playing the game:

A. He can pay $5 to play, roll a sum of 7, win $10, and net $5.

B. He can pay $5 to play, roll a sum of 4, win $20, and net $15.

C. He can pay $5 to play, roll a sum of neither 4 nor 7, and net -$5 (a loss).

Now we need to calculate the probabilities of doing those.

Here is the sample space of rolling a pair of dice:


(1,1)   (1,2)   (1,3)   (1,4)   (1,5)   (1,6) 


(2,1)   (2,2)   (2,3)   (2,4)   (2,5)   (2,6)


(3,1)   (3,2)   (3,3)   (3,4)   (3,5)   (3,6)


(4,1)   (4,2)   (4,3)   (4,4)   (4,5)   (4,6)


(5,1)   (5,2)   (5,3)   (5,4)   (5,5)   (5,6)


(6,1)   (6,2)   (6,3)   (6,4)   (6,5)   (6,6)

There are 36 posasible rolls.  The 6 red ones have sum 7, the 3 blue ones
have sum 4, the 27 black ones have some other sum.  So 

The probability of rolling a 7 is 6%2F36 or 1%2F6. P(A) = 1%2F6

The probability of rolling a 4 is 3%2F36 or 1%2F12. P(B) = 1%2F12

The probability of rolling neither of those sum is 27%2F36 or 3%2F4
   P(C) = 3%2F4

To find the expectation, multiply each win by the probability of winning it,
then add them.



Expectation+=+10%2F6+%2B+20%2F12+-+15%2F4

Expectation+=+20%2F12+%2B+20%2F12+-+45%2F12

Expectation+=+-5%2F12=-.412%2F3

That means if one plays the game many times he will have
averaged losing 41%262%2F3 cents per game.

Edwin