SOLUTION: Don't get this one :( A bag contains 6 red marbles, 9 blue marbles, and 5 green marbles. You withdraw one marble, replace it, and then withdraw another marble. What is the proba

Algebra ->  Probability-and-statistics -> SOLUTION: Don't get this one :( A bag contains 6 red marbles, 9 blue marbles, and 5 green marbles. You withdraw one marble, replace it, and then withdraw another marble. What is the proba      Log On


   



Question 26843: Don't get this one :(
A bag contains 6 red marbles, 9 blue marbles, and 5 green marbles. You withdraw one marble, replace it, and then withdraw another marble. What is the probability that you do NOT pick two green marbles?

Answer by AnlytcPhil(1806) About Me  (Show Source):
You can put this solution on YOUR website!
A bag contains 6 red marbles, 9 blue marbles, and 5 green marbles. You withdraw
one marble, replace it, and then withdraw another marble. What is the
probability that you do NOT pick two green marbles?

We calculate this by first calculating the probability of FAILURE.  Then we
used Probability of SUCCESS = 1 - Probability of FAILURE.

In order to FAIL, we must pick both marbles green.

The probability of picking the first marble green = 

5 green marbles/(20 marbles) = 1/4

So 1/4 of the times we perform the experiment we will get a green marble first.

Now of those 1/4 of the times we do the experiment and get a green marble the
first time, 1/4 of those times we will also get a green marble the second time.

So that's 1/4 of 1/4 or 1/16 

So the probability of FAILING (getting a green marbles both times) is 1/16

Therefore the probability of SUCCEEDING (not getting a green marble both
times) = 1 - 1/16 or 15/16

Edwin
AnlytcPhil@aol.com