SOLUTION: Find the probability that a single toss of a die will result in a number less than 4 if it is given that the toss resulted in an odd number

Algebra ->  Probability-and-statistics -> SOLUTION: Find the probability that a single toss of a die will result in a number less than 4 if it is given that the toss resulted in an odd number       Log On


   



Question 1182555: Find the probability that a single toss of a die will result in a number less than 4 if it is given that the toss resulted in an odd
number

Answer by ikleyn(52925) About Me  (Show Source):
You can put this solution on YOUR website!
.
Find the probability that a single toss of a die will result in a number less than 4
if it is given that the toss resulted in an odd number.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~


            It is the  CONDITIONAL  probability problem.

            There are two major ways to solve it,  and I will show you  BOTH  ways.


The full space of events consists of 6 events getting "1", '2", "3", "4", "5" and "6".

The probability for each event is  1%2F6.


The problem asks about the conditional probability P(getting less than 4 given that the result is an odd number).


So, it is  P(getting less than 4 | the result is an odd number), and by the definition of conditional probability, it is the ratio  


      P = P(getting less than 4 AND odd number) / P(the result is an odd number).      (1)



The numerator is  2%2F6 = 1%2F3,  because there are only 2 positive odd integers less than 4 (they are 1 and 3)
of 6 possible outputs.


The denominator is  3%2F6,  because there are 3 positive odd integer between 1 and 6 inclusive (they are 1, 3 and 5).


Thus the probability under the problem's question is  P = %28%281%2F3%29%29%2F%28%281%2F2%29%29 = 2%2F3.    ANSWER


So,  the first solution is completed.

The second solution uses the  "REDUCED"  space of events.


The reduced space of events consists of 3 events getting odd integers between 1 and 6: these events are "1", "3" and "5".


Of them, favorable are only two, "1" and "3".


Therefore, the sough probability is  P = favorable%2Ftotal_in_reduced_space = 2%2F3,  giving the same answer.

Thus the second solution is completed,  too.


At this point,  I stop my teaching.