SOLUTION: From experience, an airline knows that only 73 percent of the passengers booked on a flight from New York to Los Angeles actually board their flight. If this percentage is correct,

Algebra ->  Probability-and-statistics -> SOLUTION: From experience, an airline knows that only 73 percent of the passengers booked on a flight from New York to Los Angeles actually board their flight. If this percentage is correct,      Log On


   



Question 1168965: From experience, an airline knows that only 73 percent of the passengers booked on a flight from New York to Los Angeles actually board their flight. If this percentage is correct, what is the probability that, in a random sample of 6 booked passengers from New York to Los Angeles, exactly 3 show up?
Round your answer to three decimal places.

Answer by math_tutor2020(3817) About Me  (Show Source):
You can put this solution on YOUR website!

p = probability of success
p = probability someone showing up (ie actually boarding their flight)
p = 0.73

n = sample size
n = 6

x = number of people who show up (out of n = 6 people)
x = 3

We'll use the binomial probability distribution formula below
B(x) = (n C x)*(p^x)*(1-p)^(n-x)
B(3) = (6 C 3)*(0.73^3)*(1-0.73)^(6-3)
B(3) = 20*(0.73^3)*(0.27^3)
B(3) = 20*(0.73^3)*(0.27^3)
B(3) = 20*0.389017*0.019683
B(3) = 20*0.007657021611
B(3) = 0.15314043222
B(3) = 0.153
In a sample of 6 people, there's roughly a 15.3% chance of exactly 3 showing up and actually boarding their flight.

Note: The notation 6 C 3 refers to the nCr combination notation. You'll use the formula nCr+=+%28n%21%29%2F%28r%21%2A%28n-r%29%21%29 or you can use Pascals Triangle.


Final Answer: 0.153