SOLUTION: A person claims to have ESP (extrasensory perception). A coin is tossed 30 times, and each time, the person is asked to predict in advance whether the coin will land heads
Algebra ->
Probability-and-statistics
-> SOLUTION: A person claims to have ESP (extrasensory perception). A coin is tossed 30 times, and each time, the person is asked to predict in advance whether the coin will land heads
Log On
Question 1155291: A person claims to have ESP (extrasensory perception). A coin is tossed 30 times, and each time, the person is asked to predict in advance whether the coin will land heads or tails. The person predicts correctly 60% of the time (i.e., on 18 tosses). What is the probability of being correct 18 or more times by pure guessing Answer by ikleyn(52800) (Show Source):
It is P = = 1 - = 1 - BINOM.DIST(17,30,0.6,TRUE) = 1 - 0.4215 = 0.5785. ANSWER
I used the probability 0.6 to guess correctly and 0.4 to guess incorrectly (according to the condition)
Solved.
-----------------
I used Excel function BINOM.DIST to quickly calculate the expression.
On Excel function BINOM.DIST, see its description everywhere, for example