SOLUTION: Of all the new vehicles of a certain model that are sold, 20% require repairs to be done under warranty during the first year of service. A particular dealership sells 14 such ve

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Question 1152847: Of all the new vehicles of a certain model that are sold, 20% require repairs to be done under warranty
during the first year of service. A particular dealership sells 14 such vehicles.
(a) What is the probability that fewer than five of the 14 vehicles require warranty repairs?
(b) What is the probability that more than 2 of the 14 vehicles require warranty repairs?

Answer by ikleyn(52885) About Me  (Show Source):
You can put this solution on YOUR website!
.

            I will answer question  (a)  here.


This is a binomial distribution type problem, where the probability under the question is the sum


     P = P(fewer than 5 of 14) = P(0) + P(1) + P(2) + P(3) + P(4) = sum+%28C%2814%2Ck%29%2Ap%5Ek%2Aq%5E%2814-k%29%2Ck=0%2C4%29      (1)


The number of trials is              14;
The indexes of success trials        k = 0,1,2,3,4
The probability of success trial     p = 0.2;
                                     q = 1 - p
C(n,k) = n! / (k! * (n-k)!)          are binomial coefficients.


The sum  (1)  is a cumulative sum.


Instead of calculating every term of (1) individually and then summing them up, you may use Excel function 

BINOM.DIST(4, 14, 0.2, TRUE)  to calculate the cumulative sum value in one click.


In this way,  you get


    P = sum%28C%2814%2Ck%29%2A0.2%5Ek%2A%281-0.2%29%5E%2814-k%29%2Ck=0%2C4%29 = 0.87016.      ANSWER

Thus the problem is solved using Technology.

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            Now I will answer question  (b).


This is a binomial distribution type problem, where the probability under the question is the sum


     P(more than 2 of 14) = P(3) + P(4) + P(5) + . . . + P(14) = sum+%28C%2814%2Ck%29%2Ap%5Ek%2Aq%5E%2814-k%29%2Ck=3%2C14%29      (1)


The number of trials is              14;
The indexes of success trials        k = 3,4,5, . . . ,14
The probability of success trial     p = 0.2;
                                     q = 1 - p
C(n,k) = n! / (k! * (n-k)!)          are binomial coefficients.



Instead of calculating every term of (1) individually and then summing them up, you may use Excel standard function BINOM.DIST

which allows calculating the entire aggregate of such addends in one click.


But function BINOM.DIST works for so called cumulative sums ONLY, that are the sums of addends for k from 0 to some integer number.


Therefore, I should convert the sum (1) to the cumulative form.


The conversion is this formula  

    sum+%28C%2814%2Ck%29%2Ap%5Ek%2Aq%5E%2814-k%29%2Ck=3%2C14%29 = 1 - sum+%28C%2814%2Ck%29%2Ap%5Ek%2Aq%5E%2814-k%29%2Ck=0%2C2%29       (2)


In the right side of (2),  the sum is in the cumulative form, so I can apply the standard Excel function BINOM.DIST to calculate it


    sum+%28C%2814%2Ck%29%2Ap%5Ek%2Aq%5E%2814-k%29%2Ck=0%2C2%29 = BINOM.DIST(2, 14, 0.2, TRUE) = 0.448051.


In this way, the value of  (2)  is equal to  1 - 0.448051 = 0.551949.    


ANSWER.  The probability under the question (b) is  P = 0.551949.

Thus the problem is solved using Technology.

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On Excel function BINOM.DIST, see its description everywhere, for example

https://support.office.com/en-us/article/binom-dist-function-c5ae37b6-f39c-4be2-94c2-509a1480770c


Instead of using Excel function BINOM.DIST, you can use similar function cmd
of your pocket calculator TI-83 or TI-84, with the same success.


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To see other probability problems, solved by similar method, look into the lessons
    - Solving problems on Binomial distribution
    - How to calculate Binomial probabilities using Technology
    - Solving problems on Binomial distribution with Technology
in this site.