Question 1147684: Determine all joint probabilities listed below from the following information:
P(A)=0.74,P(Ac)=0.26,P(B|A)=0.43,P(B|Ac)=0.65
P(A and B) =
P(A and Bc) =
P(Ac and B) =
P(Ac and Bc) =
Found 3 solutions by Edwin McCravy, AnlytcPhil, ikleyn: Answer by Edwin McCravy(20063) (Show Source): Answer by AnlytcPhil(1807) (Show Source): Answer by ikleyn(52875) (Show Source):
You can put this solution on YOUR website! .
(1) To calculate P(A and B), it is enough to have these two given values P(A)= 0.74 and P(B | A)= 0.43.
By the definition of the conditional probability, P(B | A) = P(A and B)/P(A).
Therefore, to get P(A and B), simply multiply P(A | B) and P(A) to get
P(A and B) = 0.74*0.43 = 0.3182. ANSWER
(2) P(A and Bc) = P(A) - P(A and B) = 0.74 - 0.3182 = 0.4218. ANSWER
(3) The solution for (3) is absolutely identical to the solution for (1).
Therefore, I will repeat it word-in-word.
To calculate P(Ac and B), it is enough to have these two given values P(Ac)= 0.26 and P(B | Ac)= 0.65.
By the definition of the conditional probability, P(B | Ac) = P(B and Ac)/P(Ac).
Therefore, to get P(Ac and B), simply multiply P(B | Ac) and P(Ac) to get
P(Ac and B) = 0.65*0.26 = 0.169. ANSWER
(4) P(Ac and Bc) = P(Ac) - P(Ac and B) = 0.26 - 0.169 = 0.091. ANSWER
Solved.
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Thus, to solve the problem
- you don't need to use and to plot Venn diagram;
- you do not need to form and to solve the system/systems of linear equations.
All you need is to know the basic definitions and properties of probabilities (and of conditional probability, in particular).
In this context, the Edwin' solution leads you to NOWHERE.
This problem is of introductory level on conditional probability, and the solution technique must be adequate.
I am 200% sure that this problem was designed, created, intended and expected to be solved by the method of my post.
I write it to you not for making a war with Edwin, but with the unique goal to show you the correct way solving such problems.
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On conditional probabilities, see the lesson
- Conditional probability problems
in this site.
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