Question 1146096: Ten thousand raffle tickets are sold. One first prize of $ 2 comma 000, 3 second
prizes of $ 600 each, and 9 third prizes of $ 400 each are to be awarded, with
all winners selected randomly. If you purchase one ticket, what are your
expected winnings?
Answer by Edwin McCravy(20064) (Show Source):
You can put this solution on YOUR website!
Ten thousand raffle tickets are sold. One first prize of $ 2000, 3 second prizes
of $600 each, and 9 third prizes of $ 400 each are to be awarded, with all
winners selected randomly. If you purchase one ticket, what are your expected
winnings?
I will assume this raffle will be conducted like most raffles. That is, I can't
win more than 1 prize. The tickets are drawn one at a time without replacing.
The probability of my ticket being drawn to win the $2000 is 1/10000.
My expectation of winning that is ($2000)(1/10000) is $0.20
The probability of my ticket being drawn to win the 1st $600 is 1/9999.
My expectation of winning that is ($600)(1/9999) is $0.0600060006.
The probability of my ticket being drawn to win the 2nd $600 is 1/9998.
My expectation of winning that is ($600)(1/9998) is $0.0600120024.
The probability of my ticket being drawn to win the 3rd $600 is 1/9997.
My expectation of winning that is ($600)(1/9997) is $0.0600180054.
The probability of my ticket being drawn to win the 1st $400 is 1/9996.
My expectation of winning that is ($400)(1/9996) is $0.0400160064.
The probability of my ticket being drawn to win the 2nd $400 is 1/9995.
My expectation of winning that is ($400)(1/9995) is $0.04002001.
The probability of my ticket being drawn to win the 3rd $400 is 1/9994.
My expectation of winning that is ($400)(1/9994) is $0.0400240144.
The probability of my ticket being drawn to win the 4th $400 is 1/9993.
My expectation of winning that is ($400)(1/9993) is $0.0400280196.
The probability of my ticket being drawn to win the 5th $400 is 1/9992.
My expectation of winning that is ($400)(1/9992) is $0.0400320256.
The probability of my ticket being drawn to win the 6th $400 is 1/9991.
My expectation of winning that is ($400)(1/9991) is $0.0400360324.
The probability of my ticket being drawn to win the 7th $400 is 1/9990.
My expectation of winning that is ($400)(1/9990) is $0.04004004.
The probability of my ticket being drawn to win the 8th $400 is 1/9989.
My expectation of winning that is ($400)(1/9989) is $0.0400440485.
The probability of my ticket being drawn to win the 9th $400 is 1/9988.
My expectation of winning that is ($400)(1/9988) is $0.0400480577.
My total expectation is the sum of those, which is:
$ 0.2000000000
$ 0.0600060006
$ 0.0600120024
$ 0.0600180054
$ 0.0400160064
$ 0.0400200100
$ 0.0400240144
$ 0.0400280196
$ 0.0400320256
$ 0.0400360324
$ 0.0400400400
$ 0.0400440485
$ 0.0400480577
--------------
$ 0.7403242630 <--total expectation
Edwin
|
|
|