Question 1089049:   In a bag of 30 chocolates, 16 have vanilla filling and 14 have strawberry filling. Six 
chocolates are randomly chosen from the bag. 
a) What is the probability of obtaining exactly 2 chocolates with strawberry filling? 
b) What is the expected number of vanilla filling chocolates? 
i need help right now plzzzzzzz. 
 Answer by natolino_2017(77)      (Show Source): 
You can  put this solution on YOUR website! Let x number of Chocolates extracted with strawberry filling.
 
a) P(x=2) = (14C2)((30-14)C(10-2))/(30C10) = (14C2)(16C8)/(30C10) = (91)(12,870)/(30,045,015) = 26/667 = 0.03898 
 
so the answer is close to the 4%.
 
Let y number of number of chocolates extracted with vainilla filling
 
we need the Probabilities of P(y=a) a=1,2,...10 (zero is optional)
 
b) P(y=1) =(16C1)((30-16)C(10-1)/(30C10) = (16C1)(14C9)/(30C10 = (16)(2,002)/(30,045,015) = 32/30,015. 
   P(y=2) =(16C2)((30-16)C(10-2)/(30C10) = (16C2)(14C8)/(30C10 = (120)(3003)/(30,045,015) = 8/667
 
repeat the procedure to obtain the rest:
 
P(y=3) = 64/10,005 
P(y=4) = 364/2,001 
P(y=5) = 2,912/10,005 
P(y=6) = 8,008/30,015 
P(y=7) = 832/6,003 
P(y=8) = 26/667 (which is the same as question a)) 
P(y=9) = 32/6,003 
P(y=10) = 8/30,015
 
Now Expect Value of y is:
 
E(y) = Sum(a*P(y=a))  from a=0 to 10 (that's why the P(y=0) is optional).
 
     =  16/3 = 5.33333333333333333333
 
So the expected value is closer to 5 chocolates
 
***Observation: if the number of strawberry and vanilla would be the same, the expected value would be exactly = 10/2 = 5. ***
 
@natolino_
 
 
 
 
 
   
 
  | 
 
  
 
 |   
 
 |