.
Let {1, 2, 3, . . . , 6} be the initial (starting) permutation of the keys numbered as shown,
with the "right" key in the first position marked as "1".
Then the full space of events is the set of all permutations of 6 objects, which counts 6! = 1*2*3*4*5*6 = 720 events (permutations).
The "lucky"/fortunate/favorable events are those where "1" is in the third position.
The other keys can be in ANY other positions.
With this model, you have 5! = (6-1)! = 120 permutations where "1" is in the third position.
Hence, the probability under the question is
=
.