SOLUTION: A bag contains 2 white balls and 3 black balls, 4 person w,x,y,z in the order named each drawn one ball and not replace it. The first drawn a white ball and received $200, determin

Algebra ->  Probability-and-statistics -> SOLUTION: A bag contains 2 white balls and 3 black balls, 4 person w,x,y,z in the order named each drawn one ball and not replace it. The first drawn a white ball and received $200, determin      Log On


   



Question 1015108: A bag contains 2 white balls and 3 black balls, 4 person w,x,y,z in the order named each drawn one ball and not replace it. The first drawn a white ball and received $200, determine their expectations.
Answer by mathmate(429) About Me  (Show Source):
You can put this solution on YOUR website!

Question:
A bag contains 2 white balls and 3 black balls, 4 person w,x,y,z in the order named each drawn one ball and not replace it. The first drawn a white ball and received $200, determine their expectations.

Solution:
Since the balls are not replaced, their expectations are all different.
The expectation of w is that he draws a white ball on the first draw, or
E(w)=P(w)*200=2%2F5%2A200=80;
The expectation of x winning is if w draws a black AND x draws a white, or
E(x)=P(x)*200=%283%2F5%29%2A%282%2F4%29%2A200=3%2F10%2A200=60;
Similarly, the expectation of y winning is
E(y)=P(y)*200=%283%2F5%29%2A%282%2F4%29%2A%282%2F3%29%2A200=1%2F5%2A200=40;
Finally, if w, x and y all drew a black ball, the remaining balls are white!
E(z)=P(z)*200=%283%2F5%29%2A%282%2F4%29%2A%281%2F3%29%2A1%2A200=1%2F10%2A200=20;

Check:
E(w)+E(x)+E(y)+E(z)=80%2B60%2B40%2B20=200 ..... ok