Question 1209733: 60% of all violent felons in the prison system are repeat offenders. If 45 violent felons are randomly selected, find the probability that
a. Exactly 26 of them are repeat offenders.
b. At most 29 of them are repeat offenders.
c. At least 29 of them are repeat offenders.
d. Between 25 and 33 (including 25 and 33) of them are repeat offenders.
Found 2 solutions by CPhill, ikleyn: Answer by CPhill(1959) (Show Source):
You can put this solution on YOUR website! Here's how to solve this binomial probability problem:
* **n** (number of trials) = 45
* **p** (probability of success - repeat offender) = 0.60
* **q** (probability of failure - not a repeat offender) = 1 - p = 0.40
The binomial probability formula is: P(x) = (nCx) * p^x * q^(n-x)
Where nCx represents "n choose x" (the binomial coefficient).
**(a) Exactly 26 are repeat offenders:**
P(x = 26) = (45C26) * (0.60)^26 * (0.40)^19
P(x = 26) ≈ 0.0745
**(b) At most 29 are repeat offenders:**
This means 0 to 29 are repeat offenders. This is a cumulative probability; we need P(x ≤ 29). It's best to use a binomial cumulative distribution function (CDF) calculator or statistical software for this.
P(x ≤ 29) ≈ 0.6617
**(c) At least 29 are repeat offenders:**
This means 29 to 45 are repeat offenders. We can use the complement rule:
P(x ≥ 29) = 1 - P(x < 29) = 1 - P(x ≤ 28)
Use a binomial CDF calculator:
P(x ≥ 29) = 1 - 0.5521
P(x ≥ 29) ≈ 0.4479
**(d) Between 25 and 33 (inclusive):**
This means 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, and 33 are repeat offenders. We can use the CDF:
P(25 ≤ x ≤ 33) = P(x ≤ 33) - P(x ≤ 24)
Use a binomial CDF calculator:
P(25 ≤ x ≤ 33) = 0.9272 - 0.1837
P(25 ≤ x ≤ 33) ≈ 0.7435
**Summary of Answers:**
* (a) P(x = 26) ≈ 0.0745
* (b) P(x ≤ 29) ≈ 0.6617
* (c) P(x ≥ 29) ≈ 0.4479
* (d) P(25 ≤ x ≤ 33) ≈ 0.7435
Answer by ikleyn(52781) (Show Source):
You can put this solution on YOUR website! .
60% of all violent felons in the prison system are repeat offenders.
If 45 violent felons are randomly selected, find the probability that
a. Exactly 26 of them are repeat offenders.
b. At most 29 of them are repeat offenders.
c. At least 29 of them are repeat offenders.
d. Between 25 and 33 (including 25 and 33) of them are repeat offenders.
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As it regularly happens with @CPhill' solutions on Binomial distribution,
all calculations (a), (b), (c) and (d) in the post by @CPhill are incorrect.
Below is my correct solution.
Here's how to solve this binomial probability problem:
* **n** (number of trials) = 45
* **p** (probability of success - repeat offender) = 0.60
* **q** (probability of failure - not a repeat offender) = 1 - p = 0.40
The binomial probability formula is: P(x) = (nCx) * p^x * q^(n-x)
Where nCx represents "n choose x" (the binomial coefficient).
**(a) Exactly 26 are repeat offenders:**
P(x = 26) = (45C26) * (0.60)^26 * (0.40)^19
P(x = 26) ≈ 0.1143
**(b) At most 29 are repeat offenders:**
This means 0 to 29 are repeat offenders. This is a cumulative probability; we need P(x ≤ 29).
It's best to use a binomial cumulative distribution function (CDF) calculator or statistical software for this.
P(x ≤ 29) ≈ 0.7751
**(c) At least 29 are repeat offenders:**
This means 29 to 45 are repeat offenders. We can use the complement rule:
P(x ≥ 29) = 1 - P(x < 29) = 1 - P(x ≤ 28)
Use a binomial CDF calculator:
P(x ≥ 29) = 1 - 0.6728
P(x ≥ 29) ≈ 0.3272
**(d) Between 25 and 33 (inclusive):**
This means 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, and 33 are repeat offenders. We can use the CDF:
P(25 ≤ x ≤ 33) = P(x ≤ 33) - P(x ≤ 24)
Use a binomial CDF calculator:
P(25 ≤ x ≤ 33) = 0.9784 - 0.2223
P(25 ≤ x ≤ 33) ≈ 0.7561
**Summary of Answers:**
* (a) P(x = 26) ≈ 0.1143
* (b) P(x ≤ 29) ≈ 0.7751
* (c) P(x ≥ 29) ≈ 0.3272
* (d) P(25 ≤ x ≤ 33) ≈ 0.7561
Solved CORRECTLY.
Practically all calculations by @CPhill to this kind of problems on Binomial distribution are INCORRECT.
To check your/my calculations, use online calculator
https://stattrek.com/online-calculator/binomial
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Regarding the post by @CPhill . . .
Keep in mind that @CPhill is a pseudonym for the Google artificial intelligence.
The artificial intelligence is like a baby now. It is in the experimental stage
of development and can make mistakes and produce nonsense without any embarrassment.
It has no feeling of shame - it is shameless.
This time, again, it made an error.
Although the @CPhill' solutions are copy-paste Google AI solutions, there is one essential difference.
Every time, Google AI makes a note at the end of its solutions that Google AI is experimental
and can make errors/mistakes.
All @CPhill' solutions are copy-paste of Google AI solutions, with one difference:
@PChill never makes this notice and never says that his solutions are copy-past that of Google.
So, he NEVER SAYS TRUTH.
Every time, @CPhill embarrassed to tell the truth.
But I am not embarrassing to tell the truth, as it is my duty at this forum.
And the last my comment.
When you obtain such posts from @CPhill, remember, that NOBODY is responsible for their correctness,
until the specialists and experts will check and confirm their correctness.
Without it, their reliability is ZERO and their creadability is ZERO, too.
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