Question 811719: An architect is considering bidding for the design of a new theater. The cost of drawing plans and submitting a model is $15,000.The probability of being awarded the bid is 0.2,and anticipated profits are $80,000,resulting in a possible gain of this amount minus the $15,000 cost for plans and models. What is the expected value if the architect decides to bid for the design? Describe what this value means.
Answer by stanbon(75887) (Show Source):
You can put this solution on YOUR website! An architect is considering bidding for the design of a new theater. The cost of drawing plans and submitting a model is $15,000.The probability of being awarded the bid is 0.2,and anticipated profits are $80,000,resulting in a possible gain of this amount minus the $15,000 cost for plans and models. What is the expected value if the architect decides to bid for the design? Describe what this value means.
------
Random "gain":: -15000......65,000
Probabilities::....0.2.........0.8
==============
Expected "gain" = 0.2*-15000 + 0.8(65000) = $49,000
======
Meaning:: If he bids he can expect to gain $49,000
==============
Cheers,
Stan H.
-----------------
|
|
|