Suppose we roll two ordinary, 6-sided dice. What is the expectation of the sum
of the two values showing? What is the expectation of the maximum of the two
values showing?
Expectation of sum:
Here are all 36 possible rolls with a pair of dice:
(1,1) (1,2) (1,3) (1,4) (1,5) (1,6)
(2,1) (2,2) (2,3) (2,4) (2,5) (2,6)
(3,1) (3,2) (3,3) (3,4) (3,5) (3,6)
(4,1) (4,2) (4,3) (4,4) (4,5) (4,6)
(5,1) (5,2) (5,3) (5,4) (5,5) (5,6)
(6,1) (6,2) (6,3) (6,4) (6,5) (6,6)
Their sums are
2 3 4 5 6 7
3 4 5 6 7 8
4 5 6 7 8 9
5 6 7 8 9 10
6 7 8 9 10 11
7 8 9 10 11 12
There is 1 2, 2 3's, 3 4's, 4 5's, 5 6's 6 7's,
5 8's, 4 9's, 3 10's, 2 11's and 1 12. And there'
are 36 possible rolls, so the probabilities are the
number of ways to roll the sum over 36.
So we list the probablity distribution function:
Sum of roll Prob. of sum
x P(x) x·P(x)
-------------------------------------
2 1/36 2/36
3 2/36 6/36
4 3/36 12/36
5 4/36 20/36
6 5/36 30/36
7 6/36 42/36
8 5/36 40/36
9 4/36 36/36
10 3/36 30/36
11 2/36 22/36
12 1/36 12/36
-------------------------------------
TOTALS 36/36=1 252/36 = 7
Expectation = E(x) = ∑[x·P(x)] = 7
So if you rolled two dice many many times and averaged
up all the sums, you would expect to get an average of about 7.
===================================================
Expectation of maximum:
Here are all 36 possible rolls with a pair of dice:
(1,1) (1,2) (1,3) (1,4) (1,5) (1,6)
(2,1) (2,2) (2,3) (2,4) (2,5) (2,6)
(3,1) (3,2) (3,3) (3,4) (3,5) (3,6)
(4,1) (4,2) (4,3) (4,4) (4,5) (4,6)
(5,1) (5,2) (5,3) (5,4) (5,5) (5,6)
(6,1) (6,2) (6,3) (6,4) (6,5) (6,6)
The maximums are
1 2 3 4 5 6
2 2 3 4 5 6
3 3 3 4 5 6
4 4 4 4 5 6
5 5 5 5 5 6
6 6 6 6 6 6
There is 1 1, 3 2's, 5 3's, 7 4's, 9 5's and 11 6's.
And there are 36 possible rolls, so the probabilities are the
number of ways to roll the maximum over 36.
So we list the probablity distribution function:
Max of roll Prob. of max
x P(x) x·P(x)
-------------------------------------
1 1/36 1/36
2 3/36 6/36
3 5/36 15/36
4 7/36 28/36
5 9/36 45/36
6 11/36 66/36
-------------------------------------
TOTALS 36/36=1 161/36 = 4.47222···
Expectation = E(x) = ∑[x·P(x)] = 161/36
==============================================
So if you rolled two dice many many times and averaged
up all the maximums, you would expect to get an average of about 4.47222···
Edwin