SOLUTION: A deck of cards is shuffled well. The cards are dealt one-by-one until the two of hearts appears. Find the probability that exactly one king, queen, and jack appear before the two

Algebra ->  Probability-and-statistics -> SOLUTION: A deck of cards is shuffled well. The cards are dealt one-by-one until the two of hearts appears. Find the probability that exactly one king, queen, and jack appear before the two       Log On


   



Question 1205065: A deck of cards is shuffled well. The cards are dealt one-by-one until the two of hearts appears. Find the probability that exactly one king, queen, and jack appear before the two of hearts.
a) 1/11 b) 1/22 ​c) 1/33 ​d) 1/44 ​

Found 2 solutions by Edwin McCravy, ikleyn:
Answer by Edwin McCravy(20054) About Me  (Show Source):
You can put this solution on YOUR website!
It's the probability that a king, a queen, a jack, and the 2 of hearts
come before the other 3 kings, the other 3 queens, and the other 3 jacks.

We are only concerned with the following 13 cards.

K, Q, J, 2 of hearts, K, K, K, Q, Q, Q, J, J, J

The other 39 cards can go anywhere.

We can choose the one king to come before the 2 of hearts 4 ways. 
We can choose the one queen to come before the 2 of hearts 4 ways.  
We can choose the one jack to come before the 2 of hearts 4 ways. 
Those 3 cards can be ordered 3! = 6 ways
The 3 Kings, 3 queens, and 3 jacks that come after the 2 of hearts can be
ordered any of 9! ways.

The number of ways those 13 cards can come in the deck is 13!

So the desired probability is

%284%2A4%2A4%2A3%21%2A9%21%29%2F13%21 that simplifies to 16%2F715 or about 0.022

I disagree with all your choices.

Edwin

Answer by ikleyn(52776) About Me  (Show Source):
You can put this solution on YOUR website!
.
A deck of cards is shuffled well. The cards are dealt one-by-one until the two of hearts appears.
Find the probability that exactly one king, queen, and jack appear before the two of hearts.
a) 1/11 b) 1/22 ​c) 1/33 ​d) 1/44
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~


        As the problem is worded, it is AMBIGOUS.
        To avoid ambiguity, it should be re-formulated this way:

                Find the probability that exactly one king, queen, and jack appear
                highlight%28IMMEDIATELY%29 before the two of hearts.

        Agree that these are two different formulations describing two completely different situations.


The probability that 1-st dealt card is a king  is 4%2F52.

The probability that 2-nd dealt card is a queen is 4%2F51.

The probability that 3-rd dealt card is a jack  is 4%2F50.

The probability that first three dealt cards are a king, a queen and a jack in any order is

    3%21%2A%284%2F52%29%2A%284%2F51%29%2A%284%2F50%29 = 6%2A%284%2F52%29%2A%284%2F51%29%2A%284%2F50%29.



The probability that the next dealt card is the two of heard is 1%2F49.



So, the probability to have four first cards as described is


   6+%2A+%284%2F52%29+%2A+%284%2F51%29+%2A+%284%2F50%29+%2A+%281%2F49%29+ = %286%2A4%2A4%2A4%2A1%29%2F%2852%2A51%2A50%2A49%29 = 

      = 384%2F6497400 = 16%2F270725 = 5.91006E-05.    ANSWER


There is nothing in common with your list of possible answers.

Solved.