SOLUTION: Find the probability that in 200 tosses of a fair six-sided die, a five will be obtained at least 40 times

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Question 1203104: Find the probability that in 200 tosses of a fair six-sided die, a five will be obtained at least 40 times

Answer by ikleyn(52781) About Me  (Show Source):
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Find the probability that in 200 tosses of a fair six-sided die,
a five will be obtained at least 40 times
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The original problem is on Binomial distribution

    n = 200 total trials;  p = 1/6 is the probability of an individual success 
                                      (obtaining a five in each individual toss);
    k >= 40 is the number of successful trials.


Since the number of trials is great (200), it is recommended to use 
the normal distribution as an approximation.


The mean of this normal distribution is  m = n*p = 200%2A%281%2F6%29 = 200%2F6 = 33.333333 (rounded);  
the standard deviation is  

    SD = sqrt%28n%2Ap%2A%281-p%29%29 = sqrt%28200%2A%281%2F6%29%2A%281-1%2F6%29%29 = 5.2704628  (rounded).


Now you can use your regular calculator TI-83 or TI-84.  You get then

                    z1    z2    mean       SD                 <<<---===  formatting pattern
    p = normalcdf( 39.5, 9999, 33.333333, 5.2704628) = 0.121  (rounded).    ANSWER


The number 39.5 comes with the continuity correction.

Solved.

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About approximation of the binomial distribution by normal distribution and continuity correction factor
see your textbook and/or these Internet sources

https://www.statology.org/normal-approximation

https://www.statisticshowto.com/probability-and-statistics/binomial-theorem/normal-approximation-to-the-binomial/

https://online.stat.psu.edu/stat414/lesson/28/28.1

https://stats.libretexts.org/Courses/Las_Positas_College/Math_40%3A_Statistics_and_Probability/06%3A_Continuous_Random_Variables_and_the_Normal_Distribution/6.04%3A_Normal_Approximation_to_the_Binomial_Distribution


        For calculations, you may use your calculator TI-83 or TI-84 (function normcdf)
        or online calculator https://onlinestatbook.com/2/calculators/normal_dist.html

        If you are a beginner student in learning probability distribution, I advise you to start learning
        this kind of computations using the online calculator, to which I referred above.

        It provides a graphical support, so at each step you do understand what you are doing.
        In addition, this graphical support prevents you from making mistakes.

        When you learm enough this kind of computations, you can switch to your regular calculator,
        but even then you may use the online calculator for checking purposes.