SOLUTION: There are n stops on the bus route, the bus carries m passengers. Each of them gets off at one stop. What is the probability that no one gets off at at least one stop? What is the

Algebra ->  Probability-and-statistics -> SOLUTION: There are n stops on the bus route, the bus carries m passengers. Each of them gets off at one stop. What is the probability that no one gets off at at least one stop? What is the       Log On


   



Question 1200589: There are n stops on the bus route, the bus carries m passengers. Each of them gets off at one stop. What is the probability that no one gets off at at least one stop? What is the probability that no one gets off at exactly k stops? ([n, m, k] = [9, 13, 3])
Answer by ikleyn(52781) About Me  (Show Source):
You can put this solution on YOUR website!
.
There are 9 stops on the bus route, the bus carries 13 passengers.
Each of them gets off at highlight%28highlight%28some%29%29 one stop.
(a) What is the probability that no one gets off at at least one stop?
(b) What is the probability that no one gets off at exactly 3 stops?
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~


            In this my post,  I will solve part  (b),  ONLY.

            I re-wrote the condition by substituting the given values
            into the text directly, for easy reading and understanding.


We can select 3 stops from 9 stops in  C%5B9%5D%5E3 = %289%2A8%2A7%29%2F%281%2A2%2A3%29 = 84 ways.

So, for simplicity, we may think now that 3 stops are fixed, where no passengers go out.
At other 9-3 = 6 stops some passengers goes out (at least one).


So, the question now is:


    +--------------------------------------------+
    |   In how many ways 13 passengers can be    |
    |   separated/divided in 6 non-empty sets?   |
    +--------------------------------------------+


     It is the same as to ask: how many solutions does this equation have

         x%5B1%5D + x%5B2%5D + x%5B3%5D + x%5B4%5D + x%5B5%5D + x%5B6%5D  = 13   (*)

     in integer positive numbers?



It is a typical problem to solve using the "stars and bars" method.


On Stars and Bars method, see this Wikipedia article 
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stars_and_bars_(combinatorics)

or my lesson on the same subject in this site

     Stars and bars method for Combinatorics problems 
     https://www.algebra.com/algebra/homework/Permutations/Stars-and-bars-method-for-Combinatorics-problems-2.lesson


The answer is: this equation (*) has  C%5B13-1%5D%5E%286-1%29 = C%5B12%5D%5E5 = 792 solutions.

THEREFORE, the answer to question (b) is  P = C%5B9%5D%5E3%2FC%5B12%5D%5E5 = 84%2F792 = 7%2F66 = 0.106061.

ANSWER to question (b) is  P = C%5B9%5D%5E3%2FC%5B12%5D%5E5 = 84%2F792 = 7%2F66 = 0.106061.

Solved.