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A coin is Twice as likely to turn up Head as Tails in a sequences of independent
tosses of the coin. What is the probability that the 3rd Head occurs on the 6th
toss?
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From the problem, P(Head) = 2/3; P(Tail) = 1/3.
Next, the event that the 3rd Head occurs on the 6th toss is the intersection of two independent events, A and B.
Event A is that in the first 5 tosses the Head will occur exactly two times.
Event B is that the 6th toss will be Head.
Event A is the binomial with the number of trials n= 5, number of success trials k= 2
and the probability of success (=Head) of 2/3; so
P(A) =
=
= 0.164609.
For event B, P(B) = P(Head) = 2/3.
Therefore, P(A and B) = P(A)*P(B) =
= 0.109739 (rounded). ANSWER
Solved.