SOLUTION: A game involving tossing 2 coins and receiving 58 cents if they are both heads what is a fair price to pay for the privilege of playing this game twice

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Question 1197245: A game involving tossing 2 coins and receiving 58 cents if they are both heads what is a fair price to pay for the privilege of playing this game twice
Found 3 solutions by MathLover1, math_tutor2020, ikleyn:
Answer by MathLover1(20849) About Me  (Show Source):
You can put this solution on YOUR website!

There are 4+ possibilities:
HT
HH
TT
TH
So you have 1+ out of 4 or 25% chance of winning.
if it cost 58 cents, a fair price to pay for the privilege of playing this game twice would be
58%2F4=29%2F2=14.5 cents

Answer by math_tutor2020(3817) About Me  (Show Source):
You can put this solution on YOUR website!

X = amount won (before the cost is factored in)
X either equals 58 or 0

H = heads
T = tails
Sample space = {HH, HT, TH, TT} = set of all possible outcomes
Event space = {HH} = subset of the sample space in which the player wins
If the player gets the result in the event space, then they win.

P(winning) = (1 item in the event space)/(4 items in sample space)
P(winning) = 1/4 = 0.25
P(losing) = 1-P(winning) = 1-0.25 = 0.75
EventXP(X)X*P(X)
Win580.2514.5
Lose00.750
E[X] = expected value
E[X] = sum of the X*P(X) values
E[X] = 14.5 + 0
E[X] = 14.5

The expected winnings is 14.5 cents per game.
This is before the cost is factored in.

To have a fair game, the cost per game must be the same as the amount expected to win per game.

The fair price per game is 14.5 cents
For 2 games, that cost will be 2*14.5 = 29 cents.

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Another approach

c = cost to play one game
X = net winnings
In this scenario, X is the amount of money the player walks away with after the cost is factored in.

The player walks away with 58-c cents if they won, or they walk away with 0-c = -c cents if they lose (i.e. they lose c cents).
EventXP(X)X*P(X)
Win58-c0.25(58-c)*0.25 = 0.25*58-0.25c= 14.5-0.25c
Lose-c0.75-c*0.75 = -0.75*c

E[X] = sum of the X*P(X) values
E[X] = ( 14.5-0.25c ) + ( -0.75c )
E[X] = 14.5 - c

To have a fair game, the expected net winnings must be 0
E[X] = 0
14.5 - c = 0
14.5 = c
c = 14.5
It should cost 14.5 cents to play the game once, if we wanted a fair game.

Therefore, 2 games should cost 2*14.5 = 29 cents.


Answer by ikleyn(52781) About Me  (Show Source):
You can put this solution on YOUR website!
.
A game involving tossing 2 coins and receiving 58 cents if they are both heads.
What is a fair price to pay for the privilege of playing this game twice?
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

The probability to win in each game is 1/4 = 0.25.


The fair price to play this game once is  58%2F4 = 29%2F2 = 14.5 cents.


The fair price to play this game twice is  2*14.5 cents = 29 cents.    ANSWER

Solved and explained.


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The answer in the post by @MathLover1 is incorrect.