SOLUTION: 1. A and B play 12 games of chess of which 6 are won by A,4 are won by B and two ends in a tie. They agree to play a tournament consisting of 3 games. Find the probability that

Algebra ->  Permutations -> SOLUTION: 1. A and B play 12 games of chess of which 6 are won by A,4 are won by B and two ends in a tie. They agree to play a tournament consisting of 3 games. Find the probability that       Log On


   



Question 1177055: 1. A and B play 12 games of chess of which 6 are won by A,4 are won by B and two ends in a tie. They agree to play a tournament consisting of 3 games. Find the probability that
a) A wins all three games
b) Two games end in a tie
c) A and B wins alternatively
d) B wins at least one game

Found 2 solutions by ewatrrr, ikleyn:
Answer by ewatrrr(24785) About Me  (Show Source):
You can put this solution on YOUR website!

Hi
12games:  A wins 6, B wins 4, 2 T
Play 3 games:
a) P(A wins all three games) = (1/2)(1/2)(1/2) = 1/8
b) P(Two games end in a tie) =  (3C2)(5/6)(1/6)(1/6) = 15/216
c) P(A and B wins alternatively) =  
P(ABA) + P(BAB) = (1/2)(1/3)(1/2) + (1/3)(1/2)(1/3) = 1/12 + 1/18 =  30/12*18 = 5/36

d) P( B wins at least one game) = 1 - P(wins NO games) = 1- 1/8 = 7/8

Wish You the Best in your Studies.


Answer by ikleyn(52778) About Me  (Show Source):
You can put this solution on YOUR website!
.
A and B play 12 games of chess of which 6 are won by A, 4 are won by B and two ends in a tie.
They agree to play a tournament consisting of 3 games. Find the probability that
a) A wins all three games
b) Two games end in a tie
c) A and B wins alternatively
d) B wins at least one game
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~


This problem is,  actually,  a standard problem of this class,  but expressed in slightly unusual terms,
which may create difficulties to you in understanding its meaning.

Therefore,  I will re-formulate this problem  EQUIVALENTLY  in familiar terms.

    +------------------------------------------------------------------------+
    |   In a bag, there are 6 black balls (A wins), 4 white balls (B wins)   |
    |   and 2 blue balls (ends in a tie).                                    |  
    |   You draw 3 of these balls randomly without replacement.              |
    |   (a)  What is the probability to draw 3 black balls ?                 |
    |   (b)  Two balls are blue                                              |
    |   (c)  White and Black ball are drawn alternatively                    |
    |   (d)  B wins at least one game                                        |
    +------------------------------------------------------------------------+


So I will solve this problem with the balls, instead of considering chess games played in a tournament.


                    SOLUTION

(a)  In all, there are  C%5B12%5D%5E3 = %2812%2A11%2A10%29%2F%281%2A2%2A3%29 = 220  different triples of balls.  
             It is the samples space.

     Of them, there are  C%5B6%5D%5E3 = %286%2A5%2A4%29%2F%281%2A2%2A3%29 = 20 triples consisting of black balls 
             (analog to "A wins all three games").

     THEREFORE, the probability under the problem's question is  20%2F220 = 1%2F11.       ANSWER



(b)  In this case, there are  C%5B2%5D%5E2%2AC%5B12-2%5D%5E1 = 2*10 = 20 favorable cases.

     THEREFORE, the probability under the problem's question is  20%2F220 = 1%2F11.       ANSWER




(c)  In this case.  P = P(White,Black,White) + P(Black,White,Black) = 

        %286%2F12%29%2A%284%2F11%29%2A%285%2F10%29 + %284%2F12%29%2A%286%2F11%29%2A%285%2F10%29 = %286%2A4%2A5+%2B+4%2A6%2A5%29%2F%2812%2A11%2A10%29 = 240%2F%2812%2A11%2A10%29 = 2%2F11.    ANSWER

Solved.


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At this point,  I will stop.

I left part  (d)  unsolved - because I don't like to have  (to solve)  toooooooo many problems in one post.

PLEASE  DO  NOT  PACK  many / (tooooo many)  problems in one post.

It is  PROHIBITED  by the rules of this forum,  and it  ALWAYS  works against your own interests.


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The solution by @ewatrrr is  INCORRECT,  and her interpretation of the problem is  INCORRECT,  too.

So,  ignore her post for your safety.