SOLUTION: What is the probability that Punx Phil sees his shadow 2 years in a row? He seen his shadow 100 times out of 121 years. 15 times he has not seen his shadow in 121 years.

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Question 1152473: What is the probability that Punx Phil sees his shadow 2 years in a row? He seen his shadow 100 times out of 121 years. 15 times he has not seen his shadow in 121 years.
Found 2 solutions by Boreal, ikleyn:
Answer by Boreal(15235) About Me  (Show Source):
You can put this solution on YOUR website!
this would be assuming independence, which is reasonable, is (100/121)^2=0.683
^ means raised to a number (the exponent)

Answer by ikleyn(52792) About Me  (Show Source):
You can put this solution on YOUR website!
.

Another look to this problem is  50:50 ---- Punx Phil  EITHER  sees his shadow  OR  does not see it.

From one side,  you can consider it as a joke;  but from other side,  it might be very deep truth.


I don't know exactly,  which of these two points is really correct :)

And think that NOBODY knows it,  in reality  (speaking seriously . . . )


Ha-ha-ha.