SOLUTION: A box contains 3 blue and 2 red marbles while another box contains 2 blue and 5 red marbles. A marble drawn at random from one of the boxes turns out to be blue. What is the probab

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Question 1022485: A box contains 3 blue and 2 red marbles while another box contains 2 blue and 5 red marbles. A marble drawn at random from one of the boxes turns out to be blue. What is the probability that it came from the first box?
Answer by robertb(5830) About Me  (Show Source):
You can put this solution on YOUR website!
Apply Bayes' Theorem directly:
P(1st box|blue) = P(1st box AND blue)/P(blue) = P(blue|1st box)*P(1st box)/P(blue) = P(blue|1st box)*P(1st box)/[P(blue|1st box)*P(1st box) + P(blue|2nd box)*P(2nd box)] = .