document.write( "Question 1178271: Suppose that the number of cars arriving in 1 hour at a busy intersection is a Poisson probability distribution with λ = 100. Find, using Chebyshev’s inequality, a lower bound for the probability that the number of cars arriving at the intersection in 1 hour is between 70 and 130. \n" ); document.write( "
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Let's solve this problem using Chebyshev's Inequality.\r
\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "**Understanding the Problem**\r
\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "* **Poisson Distribution:** The number of cars arriving in 1 hour follows a Poisson distribution with λ = 100.
\n" ); document.write( "* **Mean and Variance:** For a Poisson distribution, the mean (μ) and variance (σ²) are both equal to λ. Therefore, μ = 100 and σ² = 100, so σ = √100 = 10.
\n" ); document.write( "* **Interval:** We want to find a lower bound for P(70 ≤ X ≤ 130).\r
\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "**Chebyshev's Inequality**\r
\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "Chebyshev's Inequality states that for any random variable X with mean μ and standard deviation σ, and for any k > 0:\r
\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "* P(|X - μ| ≥ kσ) ≤ 1/k²\r
\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "We can also write it as:\r
\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "* P(|X - μ| < kσ) ≥ 1 - 1/k²\r
\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "**Applying Chebyshev's Inequality**\r
\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "1. **Find k:**
\n" ); document.write( " * We want to find P(70 ≤ X ≤ 130), which is equivalent to P(|X - 100| ≤ 30).
\n" ); document.write( " * We need to find k such that kσ = 30.
\n" ); document.write( " * Since σ = 10, we have k * 10 = 30, so k = 3.\r
\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "2. **Apply the Inequality:**
\n" ); document.write( " * P(|X - 100| < 30) ≥ 1 - 1/k²
\n" ); document.write( " * P(|X - 100| < 30) ≥ 1 - 1/3²
\n" ); document.write( " * P(|X - 100| < 30) ≥ 1 - 1/9
\n" ); document.write( " * P(|X - 100| < 30) ≥ 8/9\r
\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "3. **Interpret the Result:**
\n" ); document.write( " * P(70 ≤ X ≤ 130) ≥ 8/9
\n" ); document.write( " * 8/9 ≈ 0.8889\r
\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "**Conclusion**\r
\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "Using Chebyshev's Inequality, a lower bound for the probability that the number of cars arriving at the intersection in 1 hour is between 70 and 130 is 8/9 (approximately 0.8889).
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