document.write( "Question 1199774: A simple random sample of size n = 200 is obtained from a population whose size is N = 25,000 and whose population proportion with a specified characteristic is = = 0.65.\r
\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "a) Describe the sampling distribution of 𝑝\r
\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "b) What is the probability of obtaining x = 136 or fewer individuals with the characteristic? That is, what is P(𝑝 >= 0.68)?\r
\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "c) What is the probability of obtaining x = 118 or fewer individuals with the characteristic? That is, what is P (p = 0.59)?
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**a) Describe the sampling distribution of p**\r
\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "* **Shape:** Since the sample size (n = 200) is large and the population size (N = 25,000) is much larger, the sampling distribution of the sample proportion (p̂) can be approximated by a normal distribution. This is due to the Central Limit Theorem.\r
\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "* **Mean:** The mean of the sampling distribution of p̂ is equal to the population proportion (p):
\n" ); document.write( " * μ = p = 0.65\r
\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "* **Standard Deviation:** The standard deviation of the sampling distribution of p̂ is given by:
\n" ); document.write( " * σ = √[p * (1 - p) / n]
\n" ); document.write( " * σ = √[0.65 * (1 - 0.65) / 200]
\n" ); document.write( " * σ = √[0.2275 / 200]
\n" ); document.write( " * σ ≈ 0.0337\r
\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "**Therefore, the sampling distribution of p̂ is approximately normal with mean 0.65 and standard deviation 0.0337.**\r
\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "**b) Probability of obtaining x = 136 or fewer individuals with the characteristic (P(p̂ >= 0.68))**\r
\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "1. **Calculate the z-score for p̂ = 0.68:**
\n" ); document.write( " * z = (p̂ - μ) / σ
\n" ); document.write( " * z = (0.68 - 0.65) / 0.0337
\n" ); document.write( " * z ≈ 0.89\r
\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "2. **Find the probability:**
\n" ); document.write( " * P(p̂ >= 0.68) = P(Z >= 0.89)
\n" ); document.write( " * Using a standard normal table or calculator, find the area to the right of z = 0.89.
\n" ); document.write( " * P(Z >= 0.89) ≈ 0.1867\r
\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "**Therefore, the probability of obtaining 136 or fewer individuals with the characteristic is approximately 0.1867.**\r
\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "**c) Probability of obtaining x = 118 or fewer individuals with the characteristic (P(p̂ <= 0.59))**\r
\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "1. **Calculate the z-score for p̂ = 0.59:**
\n" ); document.write( " * z = (0.59 - 0.65) / 0.0337
\n" ); document.write( " * z ≈ -1.78\r
\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "2. **Find the probability:**
\n" ); document.write( " * P(p̂ <= 0.59) = P(Z <= -1.78)
\n" ); document.write( " * Using a standard normal table or calculator, find the area to the left of z = -1.78.
\n" ); document.write( " * P(Z <= -1.78) ≈ 0.0375\r
\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "**Therefore, the probability of obtaining 118 or fewer individuals with the characteristic is approximately 0.0375.**
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