document.write( "Question 1201804: An oil drilling company is considering 2 sites for its well. The probabilities for getting a dry, a low-producing, or a high-producing well at site A are 0.6, 0.25, and 0.15, respectively. The costs for the 3 eventualities are −$300,000, $450,000, and $1,500,000.\r
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document.write( "For site B, the probability of finding a dry well, resulting in a $240,000 loss, is 0.2. The company estimates that the probability of a low-producing well is 0.8, and in that case it would make $60,000.\r
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document.write( "(Part 1:) Make a tree diagram for this situation and find the expected value for site A.\r
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document.write( "(Part 2:) Find the expected value for site B.\r
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Algebra.Com's Answer #836308 by ikleyn(52781)![]() ![]() You can put this solution on YOUR website! . \n" ); document.write( "An oil drilling company is considering 2 sites for its well. \n" ); document.write( "The probabilities for getting a dry, a low-producing, or a high-producing well at site A are \n" ); document.write( "0.6, 0.25, and 0.15, respectively. \n" ); document.write( "The costs for the 3 eventualities are −$300,000, $450,000, and $1,500,000. \n" ); document.write( "For site B, the probability of finding a dry well, resulting in a $240,000 loss, is 0.2. \n" ); document.write( "The company estimates that the probability of a low-producing well is 0.8, \n" ); document.write( "and in that case it would make $60,000. \n" ); document.write( "(Part 1:) Make a tree diagram for this situation and find the expected value for site A. \n" ); document.write( "(Part 2:) Find the expected value for site B. \n" ); document.write( "~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( " \r\n" ); document.write( " Part 1\r\n" ); document.write( "\r\n" ); document.write( "\r\n" ); document.write( "For site A, there are 3 possible outcomes with described probabilities and costs.\r\n" ); document.write( "\r\n" ); document.write( "So, the expected value for site A is the sum of three addends\r\n" ); document.write( "\r\n" ); document.write( " expected value for site A = 0.6*(-300000) + 0.25*450000 + 0.15*1500000 = 157500 dollars.\r\n" ); document.write( "\r\n" ); document.write( "\r\n" ); document.write( " Part 2\r\n" ); document.write( "\r\n" ); document.write( "\r\n" ); document.write( "For site B, there are 2 possible outcomes with described probabilities and costs.\r\n" ); document.write( "\r\n" ); document.write( "So, the expected value for site B is the sum of two addends\r\n" ); document.write( "\r\n" ); document.write( " expected value for site A = 0.2*(-240000) + 0.8*60000 = 0 dollars.\r\n" ); document.write( "\r \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "Solved.\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "------------------\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "If you want to see other similar (and different) solved problems on Mathematical expectation \n" ); document.write( "to make your horizon wider, look in the lessons\r \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( " - Math expectation of winning in games problems \r \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( " - Math expectation of winning in lottery problems \r \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( " - Math expectation of winning in games with rolling pair of dice \r \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "in this site.\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "Learn the subject from there ( ! )\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( " |