document.write( "Question 1200362: Tickets for a raffle cost $15. There were 758 tickets sold. One ticket will be randomly selected as the winner, and that person wins $1300. For someone who buys a ticket, what is the Expected Value (the mean of the distribution)?\r
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document.write( "If the Expected Value is negative, be sure to include the \"-\" sign with the answer. Express the answer rounded to two decimal places.\r
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document.write( "Expected Value = $ \r
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document.write( "(PLEASE EXPLAIN) I do not understand, and it would be a lot if the steps were shown. \n" );
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Algebra.Com's Answer #834475 by math_tutor2020(3817)![]() ![]() ![]() You can put this solution on YOUR website! \n" ); document.write( "Answer = -13.28\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "========================================================================\r \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "Explanation:\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "X = net winnings\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "If a person wins $1300, and the ticket costs $15, then they walk away with $1285 (since 1300-15 = 1285) \n" ); document.write( "In short: X = 1285 is one possibility.\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "The other outcome is when X = -15 to represent cases when the person doesn't win anything. Even worse: They lost $15.\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "There's 1 winning ticket out of 758 total \n" ); document.write( "1/758 represents the probability of winning, so it's tied to X = 1285 \n" ); document.write( "In other words, P(X) = 1/758 when X = 1285\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "1-(1/758) = 757/758 is the probability connected to X = -15\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "To summarize so far
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\n" ); document.write( "Use of spreadsheet software is strongly recommended. \r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "We'll then form a new column labeled X*P(X) \n" ); document.write( "This is where we multiply each X with its corresponding P(X) value \n" ); document.write( "
\n" ); document.write( "Then we add up the results of that new column. \n" ); document.write( "(1285/758)+(-11355/758) \n" ); document.write( "(1285-11355)/758 \n" ); document.write( "-10070/758 \n" ); document.write( "-13.2849604221636 \n" ); document.write( "-13.28\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "That is the approximate expected value. More specifically, it's the approximate expected net winnings. \n" ); document.write( "It means that the average person expects to lose about $13.28\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "-----------------------------------------\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "Another approach:\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "The previous method used the standard textbook approach with expected value problems. That template outline being:
\n" ); document.write( "In total, they spent 758*15 = 11370 dollars.\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "That means they are down this amount. \n" ); document.write( "We write -11370 to indicate this loss.\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "But this player is guaranteed to win the prize of $1300 because they bought all the tickets. \n" ); document.write( "Their net winnings is -11370+1300 = -10070 \n" ); document.write( "They're still down a considerable amount of money.\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "Divide this net loss over the number of tickets to determine the average loss per ticket. \n" ); document.write( "-10070/758 = -13.2849604221636 = -13.28\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "Therefore, this player lost on average approximately $13.28 per ticket.\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "Hopefully you notice that these calculations are very similar to the previous section's calculations. \n" ); document.write( "The numbers haven't changed too much. \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( " |