document.write( "Question 1200362: Tickets for a raffle cost $15. There were 758 tickets sold. One ticket will be randomly selected as the winner, and that person wins $1300. For someone who buys a ticket, what is the Expected Value (the mean of the distribution)?\r
\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "If the Expected Value is negative, be sure to include the \"-\" sign with the answer. Express the answer rounded to two decimal places.\r
\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "Expected Value = $ \r
\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "(PLEASE EXPLAIN) I do not understand, and it would be a lot if the steps were shown.
\n" ); document.write( "

Algebra.Com's Answer #834475 by math_tutor2020(3817)\"\" \"About 
You can put this solution on YOUR website!

\n" ); document.write( "Answer = -13.28\r
\n" ); document.write( "
\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "========================================================================\r
\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "Explanation:\r
\n" ); document.write( "
\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "X = net winnings\r
\n" ); document.write( "
\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "If a person wins $1300, and the ticket costs $15, then they walk away with $1285 (since 1300-15 = 1285)
\n" ); document.write( "In short: X = 1285 is one possibility.\r
\n" ); document.write( "
\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "The other outcome is when X = -15 to represent cases when the person doesn't win anything. Even worse: They lost $15.\r
\n" ); document.write( "
\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "There's 1 winning ticket out of 758 total
\n" ); document.write( "1/758 represents the probability of winning, so it's tied to X = 1285
\n" ); document.write( "In other words, P(X) = 1/758 when X = 1285\r
\n" ); document.write( "
\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "1-(1/758) = 757/758 is the probability connected to X = -15\r
\n" ); document.write( "
\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "To summarize so far
  • P(X) = 1/758 when X = 1285
  • P(X) = 757/758 when X = -15
Often it's handy to organize this information into a table
\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "
XP(X)
12851/758
-15757/758

\n" ); document.write( "Use of spreadsheet software is strongly recommended. \r
\n" ); document.write( "
\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "We'll then form a new column labeled X*P(X)
\n" ); document.write( "This is where we multiply each X with its corresponding P(X) value
\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "
XP(X)X*P(X)
12851/7581285/758
-15757/758-11355/758

\n" ); document.write( "Then we add up the results of that new column.
\n" ); document.write( "(1285/758)+(-11355/758)
\n" ); document.write( "(1285-11355)/758
\n" ); document.write( "-10070/758
\n" ); document.write( "-13.2849604221636
\n" ); document.write( "-13.28\r
\n" ); document.write( "
\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "That is the approximate expected value. More specifically, it's the approximate expected net winnings.
\n" ); document.write( "It means that the average person expects to lose about $13.28\r
\n" ); document.write( "
\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "-----------------------------------------\r
\n" ); document.write( "
\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "Another approach:\r
\n" ); document.write( "
\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "The previous method used the standard textbook approach with expected value problems. That template outline being:
  1. Construct the probability distribution table of each X and P(X)
  2. Compute X*P(X) for each row.
  3. Add up each X*P(X) value
For this second approach, imagine a single person buying all 758 tickets at $15 each.
\n" ); document.write( "In total, they spent 758*15 = 11370 dollars.\r
\n" ); document.write( "
\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "That means they are down this amount.
\n" ); document.write( "We write -11370 to indicate this loss.\r
\n" ); document.write( "
\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "But this player is guaranteed to win the prize of $1300 because they bought all the tickets.
\n" ); document.write( "Their net winnings is -11370+1300 = -10070
\n" ); document.write( "They're still down a considerable amount of money.\r
\n" ); document.write( "
\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "Divide this net loss over the number of tickets to determine the average loss per ticket.
\n" ); document.write( "-10070/758 = -13.2849604221636 = -13.28\r
\n" ); document.write( "
\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "Therefore, this player lost on average approximately $13.28 per ticket.\r
\n" ); document.write( "
\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "Hopefully you notice that these calculations are very similar to the previous section's calculations.
\n" ); document.write( "The numbers haven't changed too much.
\n" ); document.write( "
\n" ); document.write( "
\n" );