document.write( "Question 1197430: Forty-three percent of marriages end in divorce. You randomly select 15 married couples. Find the expected number of marriages that will end in divorce.\r
\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "Suppose an exam consisted of 10 multiple choice problems, each with five possible responses (A-E), only 1 of which is correct.  If a student randomly guesses the answers to each question then what is the probability that a student guesses the correct answer to exactly 7 questions?  Additionally, what is the probability that a student passes the exam with a score of 70% or higher? (round to 5 decimal places)
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Algebra.Com's Answer #830698 by math_tutor2020(3817)\"\" \"About 
You can put this solution on YOUR website!

\n" ); document.write( "In the future, please post one problem at a time. \r
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\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "Question 1) Forty-three percent of marriages end in divorce. You randomly select 15 married couples. Find the expected number of marriages that will end in divorce.\r
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\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "This is a binomial distribution problem since we have the following conditions
  • There are two outcomes: The marriage ends in divorce, or it doesn't
  • Each couple is independent of one another
  • The probability of divorce is the same
In this case we have,
\n" ); document.write( "n = 15 married couples = sample size
\n" ); document.write( "p = 0.43 = probability a marriage ends in divorce\r
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\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "n*p = expected number of marriages ending in divorce
\n" ); document.write( "n*p = 15*0.43
\n" ); document.write( "n*p = 6.45
\n" ); document.write( "Do not round this value since averages aren't always expected to be whole numbers.
\n" ); document.write( "However, if your teacher instructs you to round to the nearest whole number, then be sure to do so.\r
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\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "Answer: 6.45\r
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\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "Question 2) Suppose an exam consisted of 10 multiple choice problems, each with five possible responses (A-E), only 1 of which is correct. If a student randomly guesses the answers to each question then what is the probability that a student guesses the correct answer to exactly 7 questions? Additionally, what is the probability that a student passes the exam with a score of 70% or higher? (round to 5 decimal places)\r
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\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "I'll break this up into part (a) and part (b)\r
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\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "Part (a) will handle the portion what is the probability that a student guesses the correct answer to exactly 7 questions? and part (b) will handle what is the probability that a student passes the exam with a score of 70% or higher?\r
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\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "Part (a)\r
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\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "There are 5 possible responses (A through E), but only one of which is correct.
\n" ); document.write( "If a student guesses at complete random, then each answer choice is likely to be selected.
\n" ); document.write( "The probability of success here is p = 1/5 = 0.2\r
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\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "There are n = 10 questions total to make up the sample size.\r
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\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "We wish to determine the probability of the student getting exactly x = 7 questions correct.\r
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\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "Use the binomial probability formula
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\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "\"f%287%29+=+120%2A%280.2%29%5E7%2A%281-0.2%29%5E%2810-7%29\"\r
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\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "\"f%287%29+=+0.000786432\" This value is exact\r
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\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "\"f%287%29+=+0.00079\" Rounding to five decimal places\r
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\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "Answer: 0.00079 (approximate)\r
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\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "Part (b)\r
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\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "We need to use the binomial probability formula to find these values of f(x)
\n" ); document.write( "f(7), f(8), f(9), f(10)
\n" ); document.write( "Then we add them all up to find the probability x = 7 or larger.
\n" ); document.write( "This in turn will give scores of 7/10 = 0.70 = 70% or larger.\r
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\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "I won't show the steps for each, since you can follow the template in part (a)
\n" ); document.write( "Here are the results of each to help check your work.
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xf(x)
70.000786432
80.000073728
90.000004096
100.000000102

\n" ); document.write( "Then add up the results in the f(x) column
\n" ); document.write( "0.000786432+0.000073728+0.000004096+0.000000102 = 0.000864358\r
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\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "This then rounds to 0.00086 when rounding to five decimal places.\r
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\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "A quick shortcut is to use a binomial calculator such as this one
\n" ); document.write( "https://stattrek.com/online-calculator/binomial
\n" ); document.write( "or this
\n" ); document.write( "https://www.gigacalculator.com/calculators/binomial-probability-calculator.php
\n" ); document.write( "If you have a TI83 or TI84, you can use the binomcdf function. This is found by pressing the button labeled \"2nd\" and then hitting the VARS key. Scroll down a bit until you find the function.
\n" ); document.write( "Refer to this page for more information
\n" ); document.write( "https://www.statology.org/binomial-probabilities-ti-84-calculator/\r
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\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "Another alternative is to use a spreadsheet. This is probably the best option considering spreadsheets are used all the time in many real world situations.
\n" ); document.write( "The command to type in would be =1-BINOM.DIST(6,10,0.2,1) or =1-BINOMDIST(6,10,0.2,1) is equivalent.
\n" ); document.write( "Don't forget about the equal sign up front.
\n" ); document.write( "The BINOM.DIST(6,10,0.2,1) portion adds up the probabilities f(0), f(1), ... all the way up to f(6). Subtracting the result from 1 will get us the sum of f(7) to f(10).
\n" ); document.write( "Refer to your spreadsheet's documentation for more info on how the BINOMDIST command works.\r
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\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "Answer: 0.00086 (approximate)
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