document.write( "Question 1197263: three biased coins C1,C2,C3l ie on the table .Their probabilities of falling heads are 1/3,2/3 and1 respectiely . A coin is picked at random, tossed twice ,and observed to fall heads both times .Calculate the probability that it is C1. \n" ); document.write( "
Algebra.Com's Answer #830474 by ikleyn(52833)\"\" \"About 
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\n" ); document.write( "three biased coins C1, C2, C3 \"highlight%28cross%28ie%29%29\" lie on the table.
\n" ); document.write( "Their probabilities of falling heads are 1/3, 2/3 and 1, respectively.
\n" ); document.write( "A coin is picked at random, tossed twice, and observed to fall heads both times.
\n" ); document.write( "Calculate the probability that it is C1.
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document.write( "They want you calculate the conditional probability that the randomly picked coin is C1 \r\n" );
document.write( "given that tossed twice it produces (Head,Head).\r\n" );
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document.write( "    P(tossing one of the three coins twice gives HH) = \"%281%2F3%29%2A%28%281%2F3%29%5E2+%2B+%282%2F3%29%5E2+%2B+1%5E2%29\" = \"%281%2F3%29%2A%281%2F9+%2B+4%2F9+%2B+9%2F9%29\" = \r\n" );
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document.write( "                                                     = \"%281%2F3%29%2A%2814%2F9%29\" = \"14%2F27\".\r\n" );
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document.write( "    P(choosing C1 and (tossing C1 twice gives HH)) = \"%281%2F3%29%2A%281%2F3%29%5E2\" = \"1%2F27\".\r\n" );
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document.write( "Therefore, the ANSWER is\r\n" );
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document.write( "    P = P(choosing C1 and (tossing C1 twice gives HH)) / P(tossing one of the three coins twice gives HH) = \"%28%281%2F27%29%29%2F%28%2814%2F27%29%29\" = \"27%2F%2827%2A14%29\" = \"1%2F14\".\r\n" );
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