document.write( "Question 1190727: Suppose that you and two friends go to a restaurant, which last month filled approximately 73% of the orders correctly.\r
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document.write( "What is the probability that at least two of the three orders will be filled correctly? \n" );
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Algebra.Com's Answer #822439 by math_tutor2020(3817)![]() ![]() ![]() You can put this solution on YOUR website! \n" ); document.write( "This is a binomial probability distribution problem. \n" ); document.write( "We have two outcomes: order filled correctly vs not filled correctly \n" ); document.write( "Each trial has the same probability p = 0.73 (the order being filled correctly) \n" ); document.write( "Each trial is independent of one another.\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "The sample size is n = 3\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "The binomial formula is \n" ); document.write( "B(k) = (nCk)*(p)^k*(1-p)^(n-k) \n" ); document.write( "B(k) = (3Ck)*(0.73)^k*(1-0.73)^(3-k) \n" ); document.write( "B(k) = (3Ck)*(0.73)^k*(0.27)^(3-k) \n" ); document.write( "where the nCk refers to the nCr combination formula.\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "Now plug in k = 2 to find the probability of exactly 2 orders filled correctly \n" ); document.write( "B(k) = (3Ck)*(0.73)^k*(0.27)^(3-k) \n" ); document.write( "B(2) = (3C2)*(0.73)^2*(0.27)^(3-2) \n" ); document.write( "B(2) = (3)*(0.73)^2*(0.27)^(1) \n" ); document.write( "B(2) = 0.431649\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "Repeat for k = 3 \n" ); document.write( "B(k) = (3Ck)*(0.73)^k*(0.27)^(3-k) \n" ); document.write( "B(3) = (3C3)*(0.73)^3*(0.27)^(3-3) \n" ); document.write( "B(3) = (1)*(0.73)^3*(0.27)^(0) \n" ); document.write( "B(3) = 0.389017\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "Add up the results to find the probability of at least 2 (aka 2 or more) orders filled correctly. \n" ); document.write( "0.431649 + 0.389017 = 0.820666\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "Answer: 0.820666 \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( " |