document.write( "Question 1186368: A piece of equipment contains six identical items and it is known that three of them are defective.
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Algebra.Com's Answer #817272 by ikleyn(52866)\"\" \"About 
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\n" ); document.write( "A piece of equipment contains six identical items and it is known that three of them are defective.
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\n" ); document.write( "(b) If the process is stopped on the fourth test, what is the probability that the first item is not defective?
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document.write( "(a,i)  If the testing process is stopped on the third item, it means that the first item was defective, second item\r\n" );
document.write( "       was defective and third item was defective. The probability of this event is\r\n" );
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document.write( "           P = \"%283%2F6%29%2A%282%2F5%29%2A%281%2F4%29\" = \"1%2F20\".    ANSWER\r\n" );
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document.write( "(a,ii) If the testing process is stopped on the fourth item, it may happen in these three cases, shown by sequences\r\n" );
document.write( "       of letters\r\n" );
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document.write( "               nDDD,  DnDD,  DDnD\r\n" );
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document.write( "       where \"n\" symbolizes non-defective item, \"D\" sympolises defective item.  So,\r\n" );
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document.write( "              P(process is stopped on the fourth item) = P(nDDD) + P(DnDD) + P(DDnD).\r\n" );
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document.write( "       Next,  P(nDDD) = \"%283%2F6%29%2A%283%2F5%29%2A%282%2F4%29%2A%281%2F3%29\" = \"%283%2A3%2A2%2A1%29%2F%286%2A5%2A4%2A3%29\" = \"18%2F360\" = \"1%2F20\"; \r\n" );
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document.write( "              P(DnDD) = \"%283%2F6%29%2A%283%2F5%29%2A%282%2F4%29%2A%281%2F3%29\" = \"1%2F20\";\r\n" );
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document.write( "              P(DDnD) = \"%283%2F6%29%2A%282%2F5%29%2A%283%2F4%29%2A%281%2F3%29\" = \"%283%2A2%2A3%2A1%29%2F%286%2A5%2A4%2A3%29\" = \"1%2F20\"\r\n" );
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document.write( "       Thus final probability   P(process is stopped on the fourth item) = \"1%2F20\" + \"1%2F20\" + \"1%2F20\" = \"3%2F20\".    ANSWER\r\n" );
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document.write( "(b)    If the testing process is stopped on the fourth item, it means that one of the three cases nDDD, DnDD, or DDnD happens,\r\n" );
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document.write( "       which has the probability of  \"3%2F20\",  as it is shown in part  (a,ii)  above.\r\n" );
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document.write( "       If at the same time, the first item is not defective, it means that the event nDDD did not happens, but one of  DnDD or DDnD happens,\r\n" );
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document.write( "       which has the probability  \"1%2F20\" + \"1%2F20\" = \"2%2F20\".\r\n" );
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document.write( "       THEREFORE, the  conditional probability  under given question is  P = \"%28%282%2F20%29%29%2F%28%283%2F20%29%29\" = \"2%2F3\".    ANSWER\r\n" );
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\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "Really good probability problem.\r
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