document.write( "Question 1179025: A man claims to have extrasensory perception (ESP). As a test, a fair coin is flipped 22 times, and the man is asked to predict the outcome in advance. He gets 17 out of 22 correct. What is the probability that he would have done at least this well if he had no ESP?
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document.write( "Probability = \n" );
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Algebra.Com's Answer #808507 by ikleyn(52795)![]() ![]() You can put this solution on YOUR website! .\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( " As I understand, all this variety of unnecessary English words should be filtered out,\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( " and the problem asks ONLY to find the probability of getting 17 or more correct predictions of the total 22 cases.\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( " \r\n" ); document.write( "It is a binomial distribution probability problem.\r\n" ); document.write( "\r\n" ); document.write( " - number of trials n = 22;\r\n" ); document.write( " - number of success trials k >= 17;\r\n" ); document.write( " - Probability of success on a single trial p = 0.5.\r\n" ); document.write( "\r\n" ); document.write( "\r\n" ); document.write( "\r\n" ); document.write( "We need calculate P(n=22; k>=17; p=0.5). \r\n" ); document.write( "\r\n" ); document.write( "\r\n" ); document.write( "To facilitate calculations, I use an appropriate online (free of charge) calculator at this web-site \r\n" ); document.write( "\r\n" ); document.write( "https://stattrek.com/online-calculator/binomial.aspx\r\n" ); document.write( "\r\n" ); document.write( "\r\n" ); document.write( "It provides nice instructions and a convenient input and output for all relevant options/cases.\r\n" ); document.write( "\r\n" ); document.write( "\r\n" ); document.write( " P(n=22; k>=17; p=0.5) = 0.00845 (rounded). ANSWER\r\n" ); document.write( "\r \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "Solved.\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "---------------\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "To see a variety of similar solved problems, look into the lessons\r \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( " - Simple and simplest probability problems on Binomial distribution \r \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( " - Typical binomial distribution probability problems \r \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( " - How to calculate Binomial probabilities with Technology (using MS Excel) \r \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( " - Solving problems on Binomial distribution with Technology (using MS Excel) \r \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( " - Solving problems on Binomial distribution with Technology (using online solver) \r \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "in this site.\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "After reading these lessons, you will be able to solve such problems on your own, \r \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "which is your PRIMARY MAJOR GOAL visiting this forum (I believe).\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "////////////\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "Filtering out all unnecessary words is a MANDATORY/obligatory step solving any Math problem, written in English (a joke).\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "It is because filling the text with unnecessary words is a standard style writing school Math problems in English (unfortunately).\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "(Last my statement is not a joke. As a result of using such style, students do not understand simplest things, starting from fractions.)\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( " |