document.write( "Question 1133967: Suppose that you actually observe 3 or more of the sample of 7 bridges with inspection ratings of 4 or below in 2020. What inference can you make? Why? Select the correct answer below.
\n" ); document.write( "A.
\n" ); document.write( "Since the probability of this observation occurring is so small, it can be concluded that the forecast of 9% is too large. There would probably be less than 9%.
\n" ); document.write( "B.
\n" ); document.write( "Since the probability of this observation occurring is so large, it can be concluded that the forecast of 9% is too small. There would probably be more than 9%.
\n" ); document.write( "C.
\n" ); document.write( "Since the probability of this observation occurring is so large, it can be concluded that the forecast of 9% is too large. There would probably be less than 9%.
\n" ); document.write( "D.
\n" ); document.write( "Since the probability of this observation occurring is so small, it can be concluded that the forecast of 9% is too small. There would probably be more than 9%.\r
\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "This is a follow up question for Boreal. Thank you for your help Boreal. \n" ); document.write( "

Algebra.Com's Answer #751235 by Boreal(15235) $\"\"$ $\"About$

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Without looking at the choices, I would say the true probability is probably greater than 9%, since 0.019 as a probability of 3 or more of the bridges is uncommon (one might choose a cutoff point for what is \"uncommon\" before the measurement),\r
\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "In any case, the probability of finding 3 or more is very small given 9%, so that 9% is too small.
\n" ); document.write( "D \n" ); document.write( "

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