document.write( "Question 1119657: Two containers A and B are different. The Container A contains three white balls and two red balls and container B contains only one white ball. A coin is thrown and if faced, a ball is randomly withdrawn from container A and placed in container B, but if it yields a crown, then two balls are randomly withdrawn from container A and placed in container B. Now a ball is withdrawn randomly from container B. Question: Which the probability of the ball to be white? \n" ); document.write( "
Algebra.Com's Answer #735276 by ikleyn(52780)![]() ![]() You can put this solution on YOUR website! .\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "Let's analyse first what will happen, when the coin is faced up.\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( " \r\n" ); document.write( "1. With the probability of 1/2 the coin is faced up.\r\n" ); document.write( "\r\n" ); document.write( "\r\n" ); document.write( " Then with the probability 3/5 White ball goes from A to B, making B-content equal to (2W,0R),\r\n" ); document.write( "\r\n" ); document.write( " OR with the probability 2/5 Red ball goes from A to B, making B-content equal to (1W,1R).\r\n" ); document.write( "\r\n" ); document.write( "\r\n" ); document.write( " Summary for this step:\r\n" ); document.write( "\r\n" ); document.write( " With the probability (1/2)*(3/5) = 3/10 the content of B becomes (2W,0R) (1a) and/or\r\n" ); document.write( "\r\n" ); document.write( " with the probability (1/2)*(2/5) = 2/10 the content of B becomes (1W,1R). (1b)\r\n" ); document.write( "\r\n" ); document.write( "\r\n" ); document.write( " Next step is to withdraw the ball from B. \r\n" ); document.write( "\r\n" ); document.write( " In case (1a) we withdraw White ball with the probability 1.\r\n" ); document.write( "\r\n" ); document.write( " In case (1b) we withdraw White ball with the probability 1/2.\r\n" ); document.write( "\r\n" ); document.write( "\r\n" ); document.write( " Thus the final probability to have White ball as the final outcome at this consideration is\r\n" ); document.write( "\r\n" ); document.write( "\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "Next we analyse what will happen, when the coin is crowned up.\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( " \r\n" ); document.write( "2. With the probability of 1/2 the coin is crowned up.\r\n" ); document.write( "\r\n" ); document.write( "\r\n" ); document.write( " Then with the probability 3/10 2 White balls go from A to B, making B-content equal to (3W,0R),\r\n" ); document.write( "\r\n" ); document.write( " OR with the probability (1/3)*(1/2) 1 White ball and 1 Red ball go from A to B, making B-content equal to (2W,1R),\r\n" ); document.write( "\r\n" ); document.write( " OR with the probability (1/10) 2 Red balls go from A to B, making B-content equal to (1W,2R).\r\n" ); document.write( "\r\n" ); document.write( "\r\n" ); document.write( " Summary for this step:\r\n" ); document.write( "\r\n" ); document.write( " With the probability (1/2)*(3/10) = 3/20 the content of B becomes (3W,0R), (2a) and/or\r\n" ); document.write( "\r\n" ); document.write( " with the probability (1/2)*(1/3)*(1/2) = 1/12 the content of B becomes (2W,1R), (2b) and/or\r\n" ); document.write( "\r\n" ); document.write( " with the probability (1/2)*(1/10) = 1/20 the content of B becomes (1W,2R). (2c) \r\n" ); document.write( "\r\n" ); document.write( "\r\n" ); document.write( " Next step is to withdraw the ball from B. \r\n" ); document.write( "\r\n" ); document.write( " In case (2a) we withdraw White ball with the probability 1.\r\n" ); document.write( "\r\n" ); document.write( " In case (2b) we withdraw White ball with the probability 2/3.\r\n" ); document.write( "\r\n" ); document.write( " In case (2c) we withdraw White ball with the probability 1/3.\r\n" ); document.write( "\r\n" ); document.write( "\r\n" ); document.write( " Thus the final probability to have White ball as the final outcome at this consideration is\r\n" ); document.write( "\r\n" ); document.write( "\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "The last step to complete the solution is to add (*) and (**) :\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( " \r\n" ); document.write( "\r \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "Answer. The probability to withdraw white ball is \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( " |