document.write( "Question 1105419: An exam was applied with 10 questions of multiple choice, with four options each, being only one correct. John took the exam without knowing anything, answering the questions at random.
\n" ); document.write( "a) What is the probability of John to solve four questions?
\n" ); document.write( "b) What is the probability that John scores more than 50% of the exam?
\n" ); document.write( "c) John's mother promised $ 100 if he takes out 9 or 10, or $ 50 if he takes 7 or 8. If he draws below 7, it goes without premium. Calculate the expected gain of John.
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Getting 4 correct is 10C4(1/4)^4(3/4)^6=0.1460.
\n" ); document.write( "Scores more than 50% means getting 6 or more right.
\n" ); document.write( "Getting 6 right is 210(.25^6)(.75^4)=0.0162; 7 right is 120*.25^7*.75^3=0.003; 8 right 0.0004, 9 right is <0.0001, so the probability is 0.0196\r
\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "Expected value is X*p(X), so it is $100* probability of 9 or 10+ $50 for probability of 7 or 8.
\n" ); document.write( "9 or 10 right is 0.00003 and 10 right is 0.000001, for 0.0000031, the probability for $100=0.000095
\n" ); document.write( "for 7 and 8, the probability is 0.0034. Multiply by $50 to get $0.17. That is the answer given the results for 9 and 10.\r
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