document.write( "Question 1099170: Suppose you play a game of chance in which you toss a coin 3 times. You pay a nor refundable $2 to play the game. You win $10 in case your coin lands with a tail on top during the three tosses. You win nothing otherwise.\r
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document.write( " a) Fill out the following probability distribution table.
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document.write( "b) Over the long term, what is your expected value of playing the game?
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document.write( "c) If you played this game 100 times, how much would you expect win/loose? \n" );
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Algebra.Com's Answer #713647 by greenestamps(13200)![]() ![]() You can put this solution on YOUR website! What does \"lands with a tail on top during the three tosses\" mean? \n" ); document.write( "It sounds as if it means tails at least once on the three tosses. If that is the case, I want to know where I can play this game, because I'm going to win 7 out of 8 times. The only way not to win is to get heads on all three tosses; the probability of that is (1/2)(1/2)(1/2) = 1/8; so the probability of winning is 7/8. \n" ); document.write( "If that is indeed the rule, then when you play the game 8 times you pay $2 each time (-$16); you win 7 times (+$70), and you lose 1 time (no change). So for each 8 games your expected net would be +$54. So the expected value of each game is $54/8 = $6.75. \n" ); document.write( "I don't think it is likely that that is the way the problem is supposed to go. I suspect the rule is you win if you get tails on ALL THREE tosses. Then the probability of winning is 1/8 and the probability of losing is 7/8. \n" ); document.write( "Then for 8 games you would again be paying $16, but you would only be winning $10 once. So you would lose $6 every 8 games; that means the expected value for each game would be -$6/8 = -$0.75. \n" ); document.write( " |