a clerk distributes packages among 4 trucks. what is probability that three
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document.write( "packages wind up in different trucks? What is probability if clerk is given 20
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document.write( "packages, that exactly five of them wind up on each truck?
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document.write( "Answer:
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document.write( "Here's why:\r\n" );
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document.write( "Let the trucks be Truck #1, Truck #2, Truck #3, and Truck #4.\r\n" );
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document.write( "The numerator of the desired probability then is 4. All 3 packages are on one of\r\n" );
document.write( "the 4 trucks.\r\n" );
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document.write( "Now the denominator is C(6,3) = 20. Here is why:\r\n" );
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document.write( "Get 3+4 or 7 slips of paper. (That's 3 packages PLUS 4 trucks\r\n" );
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document.write( "(You don't have to actually get 7 slips of paper. You can just imagine them,\r\n" );
document.write( "but I'll talk as though you actually have 7 slips of papers laid out in a row\r\n" );
document.write( "left to right in front of you). \r\n" );
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document.write( "Write the word \"Truck #4\" on the right-most slip of paper.\r\n" );
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document.write( "Now choose 3 other slips of paper from the other 6. You can choose them\r\n" );
document.write( "C(6,3) = 20 ways. \r\n" );
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document.write( "[That's the total number of ways the 3 packages can be placed on the 4 trucks.\r\n" );
document.write( "I will now explain why].\r\n" );
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document.write( "Write \"Truck #1\" on the first one you chose, going left to right. Write \"Truck\r\n" );
document.write( "#2\" on the next one you chose, and \"Truck #3\" on the other one you chose.\r\n" );
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document.write( "So now we have a row of 7 slips of paper. 4 of the slips of paper, including the\r\n" );
document.write( "very last one, (the rightmost one), have \"Truck #1, #2, or #3 written on them.\r\n" );
document.write( "And 3 slips of paper have nothing written on them.\r\n" );
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document.write( "Now going left to right, count the number of slips of paper that have nothing\r\n" );
document.write( "written on them which are left of the slip of paper with Truck #1 written on it,\r\n" );
document.write( "which may be anything from none at all, 0 (zero) through 3. Whatever that number\r\n" );
document.write( "is, put that number of packages on Truck #1.\r\n" );
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document.write( "Next count the slips of paper between the slips of paper with Truck #1 and Truck\r\n" );
document.write( "#2, and place that number of packages on Truck #2. \r\n" );
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document.write( "Next count the slips of paper between the slips that read Truck #2 and Truck #3,\r\n" );
document.write( "and place that number of packages on Truck #3. \r\n" );
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document.write( "Finally count the slips of paper between the slips that read Truck #3 and Truck\r\n" );
document.write( "#4, and place that number of packages on Truck 4. \r\n" );
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document.write( "Now you can see why the number of ways we can pick the 3 slips of paper to label\r\n" );
document.write( "with truck numbers (besides the one on the right end labeled Truck #4) is \r\n" );
document.write( "6C3 = 20.\r\n" );
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document.write( "So the probability is 4 ways out of 20 or
which reduces to
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document.write( "You can just memorize the formula, the number of ways to put n things into r\r\n" );
document.write( "groups, including putting 0 in some of the groups is \r\n" );
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document.write( "(n+r-1)C(r-1)\r\n" );
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document.write( "What is probability if the clerk is given 20 packages, that exactly five of them
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document.write( "wind up on each truck?
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document.write( "The numerator of the probability is 1, and the denominator is \r\n" );
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document.write( "(20+4-1)C(4-1) = 23C3 = 1771 \r\n" );
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document.write( "You can also think of this one with 24 slips of paper. Mark the last one Truck\r\n" );
document.write( "#4, then pick 3 other slips of paper and label them Trucks #1, #2, and #3. \r\n" );
document.write( "Place the same number of packages on each truck as the number of slips of paper\r\n" );
document.write( "between each pair of successive slips that you chose.\r\n" );
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document.write( "[The number of slips of paper between 2 slips that you picked to write\r\n" );
document.write( "Truck #n and Truck #(n+1) can be anywhere from 0 to all 20]\r\n" );
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document.write( "Answer: The probability is
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document.write( "Edwin
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