document.write( "Question 916981: Six items are taken at random from a box of 17 items and inspected. The box is rejected if more than 4 items are found to be faulty. If there are 6 faulty items in the box, find the probability that the box is rejected. \n" ); document.write( "
Algebra.Com's Answer #556450 by Theo(13342) You can put this solution on YOUR website! this is a binomial probability. \n" ); document.write( "the formula is: \n" ); document.write( "p(x) = c(n,x) * p^x * q^(n-x)\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "x is the number of defectives items. \n" ); document.write( "n is the total number of items. \n" ); document.write( "p is the probability of getting one that is defective. \n" ); document.write( "q is the probability of getting one that is not defective \n" ); document.write( "the probability of getting one that is not defective is equal to 1 minus the probability of getting one that is defective.\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "in this problem: \n" ); document.write( "n = 17 \n" ); document.write( "x = 0 to 6 \n" ); document.write( "p = 6/17 = .352941... \n" ); document.write( "q = 11/17 = .647058...\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "c(n,x) is the combination of n things taken x at a time where order doesn't matter.\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "this formula is: \n" ); document.write( "c(n,x) = n! / (x! * (n-x)!)\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "you want to find the probability that more than 4 are defective out of 6 selected.\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "this means the probability that 5 or 6 are defective.\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "4 defective passes the test and the box is no rejected. \n" ); document.write( "5 or 6 defective fails the test and the box is rejected.\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "p(5) = c(6,5) * p^5 * q^1 = 6 * (6/17)^5 * (11/17)^1 = .021262... \n" ); document.write( "p(6) = c(6,6) * p^6 * q^0 = 1 * (6/17)^6 * (11/17)^0 = .001932...\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "add these together and you get p(5 or 6) = .023195 rounded to 6 decimal places.\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "that's your solution.\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "the probability that the box will be rejected = .023195 *****\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "the following excel spreadsheet shows all the probabilities.\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( " \r\n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "you can see that the total probability is equal to 1. \n" ); document.write( "you can slso see that the probability of 5 or 6 defectives when you pick 6 out of the box of 17 is equal to .023195. \n" ); document.write( "the column marked x contains the number of defectivdes. \n" ); document.write( "the column markes p(x) contains the probability of getting that many defectives.\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( " |