document.write( "Question 891951: If one person picks two letters from the alphabet at random (e.g. AB, CG, FO, ZZ [repetition is allowed]), and another person does likewise, what is the probability of the two people choosing the exact same letters?
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Algebra.Com's Answer #540185 by Theo(13342)![]() ![]() You can put this solution on YOUR website! \r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "let's try a smaller set to see if we can come up with an algorithm that will give us the answer.\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "assume the alphabet only contained 3 letters (ABC) \n" ); document.write( "the number of possible sets of 2 that you can get from this alphabet is equal to C(3,2) = 3.\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "Those 2 letter sets are:\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "AB \n" ); document.write( "AC \n" ); document.write( "BC\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "each person has the potential to get any of these 3 sets.\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "the total possible pairings from the 2 sets are therefore 3 * 3 = 9\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "those possible pairings are:\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "AB AB *** \n" ); document.write( "AB AC \n" ); document.write( "AB BC \n" ); document.write( "AC AB \n" ); document.write( "AC AC *** \n" ); document.write( "AC BC \n" ); document.write( "BC AB \n" ); document.write( "BC AC \n" ); document.write( "BC BC ***\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "if the first person chooses AB, then the probability that the second person will choose AB is 1/9.\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "if the first person chooses AC, then the probability that the second person will choose AC is 1/9.\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "if the first person chooses BC, then the probability that the second person will choose BC is 1/9.\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "the total probability appears to be 3/9 which is equal to 1/3.\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "it appears that the probability that they will match will be equal to C(3,2) / (C(3,2)^2 which is equal to 1 / C(3,2)\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "1 / (C(3,2) is equal to 1/3\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "let's see if this works with 4.\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "you have 4 letters in the alphabet.\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "they are ABCD\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "you are picking 2 out of the 4.\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "the possible combinations are C(4,2) = (4*3)/(1*2) = 6\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "those possibilities are:\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "AB \n" ); document.write( "AC \n" ); document.write( "AD \n" ); document.write( "BC \n" ); document.write( "BD \n" ); document.write( "CD\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "that' 6 possible sets of 2 for each person. \n" ); document.write( "the possible pairings should be 6 * 6 = 36\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "those possible pairings are:\r \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "AB AB ***** \n" ); document.write( "AB AC \n" ); document.write( "AB AD \n" ); document.write( "AB BC \n" ); document.write( "AB BD \n" ); document.write( "AB CD\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "AC AB \n" ); document.write( "AC AC ***** \n" ); document.write( "AC AD \n" ); document.write( "AC BC \n" ); document.write( "AC BD \n" ); document.write( "AC CD\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "AD AB \n" ); document.write( "AD AC \n" ); document.write( "AD AD ***** \n" ); document.write( "AD BC \n" ); document.write( "AD BD \n" ); document.write( "AD CD\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "BC AB \n" ); document.write( "BC AC \n" ); document.write( "BC AD \n" ); document.write( "BC BC ***** \n" ); document.write( "BC BD \n" ); document.write( "BC CD\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "BD AB \n" ); document.write( "BD AC \n" ); document.write( "BD AD \n" ); document.write( "BD BC \n" ); document.write( "BD BD ***** \n" ); document.write( "BD CD\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "CD AB \n" ); document.write( "CD AC \n" ); document.write( "CD AD \n" ); document.write( "CD BC \n" ); document.write( "CD BD \n" ); document.write( "CD CD *****\r \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "out of the 36 possible pairings, there are 6 pairings that match.\\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "the probability of getting a match is therefore 6 / 36 = 1/6\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "it looks like the formula is holding.\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "the formula is 1 / C(n,x)\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "in this case the formula is 1 / C(4,2) which is equal to 1/6.\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "in the case of 3 letter alphabet, the formula was 1 / C(3,2) = 1/3,.\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "both cases held true, so we can reasonably assume that the same formula will work with larger numbers.\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "the formula of 1 / C(n,x), applied to a 26 letter alphabet, yields 1 / C(26,2) = 1 / 325.\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "I believe that's your answer.\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "It's hard to prove directly, but it does appear to be good after we tried it on 2 smaller sets of letters.\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "we can also try to look at it another way.\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "assume you roll 2 dice that have 6 sides each.\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "the probability of getting a 1 on the first die is 1/6 \n" ); document.write( "the probability of getting a 1 on the second die is 1/6 \n" ); document.write( "the probability of both die getting a 1 is 1/6 * 1/6 = 1/36.\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "the probability of getting a 2 and a 2 is also equal to 1/36 \n" ); document.write( "same for 3,4,5,6.\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "the total probability of getting a match on 1 or 2 or 3 or 4 or 5 or 6 is the sum of the individual probabilities is equal to 1/36 * 6 = 6/36 = 1/6.\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "now assume the die have 325 sides.\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "the same problem becomes 1/325^2 + 1/a325^2 + ....... + 1/325^2 = 325 / 325^2 = 1/325.\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "we get the same answer.\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "that appears to be your probability based on two sets of reasoning.\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( " |