document.write( "Question 874099: A researcher of a specific species of birds knows from experience that 70% of such birds find hidden sources of food immediately after being released. If the researcher releases 15 such birds, calculate the probability that exactly 5 of them find hidden sources of food. \n" ); document.write( "
Algebra.Com's Answer #527301 by Theo(13342)![]() ![]() You can put this solution on YOUR website! probability of success = .7 = p \n" ); document.write( "probability of failure = 1 - .7 = .3 = q \n" ); document.write( "n = 15 \n" ); document.write( "x = number of successes.\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "p(x) = nCx * p^x * q^(n-x)\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "replace values for variables in this formula to get:\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "p(5) = 15C5 * .7^5 * .3^10\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "15C5 = 3003\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "p(5) = 3003 * .16807 * .0000059049\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "p(5) = .002980287\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "that's your answer.\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "the probabilities for 1,2,3,4,5,6,..... are in the attached table.\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "the sum of the probabilities should be equal to 1 or something went wrong.\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "this table is good since the probabilities do sum up to be equal to 1.\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( " \r\n" ); document.write( "n x p q p^x q^(n-x) nCx p(x)\r\n" ); document.write( "15 0 0.7 0.3 1.00 0.000000014349 1 0.000000014349\r\n" ); document.write( "15 1 0.7 0.3 0.70 0.000000047830 15 0.000000502212\r\n" ); document.write( "15 2 0.7 0.3 0.49 0.000000159432 105 0.000008202792\r\n" ); document.write( "15 3 0.7 0.3 0.34 0.000000531441 455 0.000082939340\r\n" ); document.write( "15 4 0.7 0.3 0.24 0.000001771470 1365 0.000580575378\r\n" ); document.write( "15 5 0.7 0.3 0.17 0.000005904900 3003 0.002980286939\r\n" ); document.write( "15 6 0.7 0.3 0.12 0.000019683000 5005 0.011590004761\r\n" ); document.write( "15 7 0.7 0.3 0.08 0.000065610000 6435 0.034770014284\r\n" ); document.write( "15 8 0.7 0.3 0.06 0.000218700000 6435 0.081130033329\r\n" ); document.write( "15 9 0.7 0.3 0.04 0.000729000000 5005 0.147235986413\r\n" ); document.write( "15 10 0.7 0.3 0.03 0.002430000000 3003 0.206130380978\r\n" ); document.write( "15 11 0.7 0.3 0.02 0.008100000000 1365 0.218623131340\r\n" ); document.write( "15 12 0.7 0.3 0.01 0.027000000000 455 0.170040213264\r\n" ); document.write( "15 13 0.7 0.3 0.01 0.090000000000 105 0.091560114835\r\n" ); document.write( "15 14 0.7 0.3 0.01 0.300000000000 15 0.030520038278\r\n" ); document.write( "15 15 0.7 0.3 0.00 1.000000000000 1 0.004747561510\r\n" ); document.write( " \r\n" ); document.write( " total probability >>> 1.000000000000\r\n" ); document.write( "\r\n" ); document.write( "\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "15C5 comes from the combination formula of nCx = n! / (x! * (n-1)!)\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "n! is equal to 15!\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "x! is equal to 5!\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "(n-x)! is equal to (15 - 5)! = 10!\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "nCx formula becomes 15! / (5! * 10!) = 3003\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( " |