document.write( "<A HREF=/cgi-bin/jump-to-question.mpl?question=712609>Question 712609</A>: <I><SPAN STYLE=\"word-break: break-all;\"> An activist wants to make a statement by spray painting a message on the side of youelevated water tank that is protected with fence alarms and cameras. If he is successful, you anticipate that it will cost you $2,500 to clean the graffiti off of your tank. The anticipated probabilities of his success are as given in the following table:<BR>\n" );
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document.write( "Probabilities of Success\r<BR>\n" );
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document.write( "Finding the location of the water tank<BR>\n" );
document.write( "95%<BR>\n" );
document.write( "Getting through the perimeter fence<BR>\n" );
document.write( "&#65532;8 out of 10 times<BR>\n" );
document.write( "Being detected during the attack<BR>\n" );
document.write( "&#65532;0.3<BR>\n" );
document.write( "Getting to the tank ladder<BR>\n" );
document.write( "&#65532;Even chance<BR>\n" );
document.write( "Breaking the ladder lock<BR>\n" );
document.write( "&#65532;50%<BR>\n" );
document.write( "Making it safely to the tank perimeter catwalk<BR>\n" );
document.write( "&#65532;Certainty<BR>\n" );
document.write( "&#65532;Spray Paint can working and paint adhering to tank<BR>\n" );
document.write( "90 out of 100 times<BR>\n" );
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document.write( "&#65532;Determine:<BR>\n" );
document.write( "(a) The activist’s probability of success. The answer is 16.9% but I cannot figure out how to solve this. </SPAN>\n" );
document.write( "</I><HR><TABLE width=100%><TR><TD><B><A HREF=http://www.algebra.com/>Algebra.Com's</A> Answer #438080 by </B><A HREF=/tutors/aboutme.mpl?userid=jim_thompson5910><B>jim_thompson5910(35256)</B></A><img src=\"/images/stars/stars-13.gif\" alt=\"\" >&nbsp;<A HREF=/tutors/aboutme.mpl?userid=jim_thompson5910><IMG SRC=http://www.algebra.com/images/aboutme-small.gif BORDER=0 alt=\"About Me\" VALIGN=MIDDLE></A>&nbsp;<IMG SRC=http://www.algebra.com/images/nopicture.jpg><BR>You can <A HREF=\"/cgi-bin/embed-solution.mpl?show=1&solution=438080\">put this solution on YOUR website!</A><BR><SPAN STYLE=\"word-break: break-all;\"> If all the events are independent, then you can simply multiply all the probabilities. However, something seems missing because I'm not able to multiply the probabilities to get 0.169 </SPAN>\n" );
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