document.write( "Question 340855: The probability of contracting the kissing disease is .23 when one is exposed to a certain provocative environment. Sixty people are so exposed. What is the probability that no more than 10 are infected with this dreaded disease? \n" ); document.write( "
Algebra.Com's Answer #244154 by Theo(13342) You can put this solution on YOUR website! There are 63 people. \n" ); document.write( "The probability that 0 get the kissing disease is .23^0 * .77^60 \n" ); document.write( "The probability that exactly 1 gets the kissing disease is .23^1 * .77^59 * 60! / (1! * 59!) \n" ); document.write( "The probability that exactly 2 get the kissing disease is .23^2 * .77^58 * 60! / (2! * 58!) \n" ); document.write( "The probability that exactly 3 get the kissing disease is .23^3 * .77^57 * 60! / (3! * 57!) \n" ); document.write( "Do this for up to 10 people. \n" ); document.write( "... \n" ); document.write( "The probability that exactly 10 get the kissing disease is .23^10 * .77^50 * 60! / (10! * 50!)\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "Add up the probabilities of exactly 0 through exactly 10 and you get the probability that no more than 10 gets the kissing disease.\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "That becomes the probability of 0 or 1 or 2 or 3 or 4 or 5 or 6 or 7 or 8 or 9 or 10 getting the disease.\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "That probability will be, based on the following table:\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "0.155259513\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "The table is shown below:\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( " \r\n" ); document.write( "Number of persons who get kissing disease.\r\n" ); document.write( " Number of persons who don't get kissing disease.\r\n" ); document.write( " Probability of getting the kissing disease.\r\n" ); document.write( " Probability of not getting the kissing disease.\r\n" ); document.write( " Number of ways that can happen.\r\n" ); document.write( " Probability of that number of ways happening.\r\n" ); document.write( " Cumulative probability of that number of ways happening.\r\n" ); document.write( "0 60 0.23 0.77 1 1.54683E-07 1.54683E-07\r\n" ); document.write( "1 59 0.23 0.77 60 2.77225E-06 2.92693E-06\r\n" ); document.write( "2 58 0.23 0.77 1770 2.44282E-05 2.73551E-05\r\n" ); document.write( "3 57 0.23 0.77 34220 0.00014107 0.000168425\r\n" ); document.write( "4 56 0.23 0.77 487635 0.000600464 0.000768889\r\n" ); document.write( "5 55 0.23 0.77 5461512 0.002008824 0.002777713\r\n" ); document.write( "6 54 0.23 0.77 50063860 0.005500352 0.008278066\r\n" ); document.write( "7 53 0.23 0.77 386206920 0.012674281 0.020952347\r\n" ); document.write( "8 52 0.23 0.77 2558620845 0.025081086 0.046033432\r\n" ); document.write( "9 51 0.23 0.77 14783142660 0.043285683 0.089319115\r\n" ); document.write( "10 50 0.23 0.77 75394027566 0.065940398 0.155259513\r\n" ); document.write( "11 49 0.23 0.77 342700125300 0.089529466 0.244788979\r\n" ); document.write( "12 48 0.23 0.77 1399358844975 0.109198818 0.353987797\r\n" ); document.write( "13 47 0.23 0.77 5166863427600 0.12043506 0.474422857\r\n" ); document.write( "14 46 0.23 0.77 17345898649800 0.120770223 0.59519308\r\n" ); document.write( "15 45 0.23 0.77 53194089192720 0.110627615 0.705820695\r\n" ); document.write( "16 44 0.23 0.77 149608375854525 0.092937972 0.798758667\r\n" ); document.write( "17 43 0.23 0.77 387221678682300 0.071851205 0.870609872\r\n" ); document.write( "18 42 0.23 0.77 925029565741050 0.051270449 0.921880321\r\n" ); document.write( "19 41 0.23 0.77 2044802197953900 0.033853215 0.955733536\r\n" ); document.write( "20 40 0.23 0.77 4191844505805490 0.020729599 0.976463135\r\n" ); document.write( "21 39 0.23 0.77 7984465725343800 0.011794206 0.988257341\r\n" ); document.write( "22 38 0.23 0.77 14154280149473100 0.00624522 0.99450256\r\n" ); document.write( "23 37 0.23 0.77 23385332420868600 0.003082057 0.997584617\r\n" ); document.write( "24 36 0.23 0.77 36052387482172400 0.00141928 0.999003897\r\n" ); document.write( "25 35 0.23 0.77 51915437974328300 0.000610475 0.999614372\r\n" ); document.write( "26 34 0.23 0.77 69886166503903500 0.000245471 0.999859843\r\n" ); document.write( "27 33 0.23 0.77 88004802264174700 9.23319E-05 0.999952175\r\n" ); document.write( "28 32 0.23 0.77 103719945525635000 3.25046E-05 0.999984679\r\n" ); document.write( "29 31 0.23 0.77 114449595062769000 1.07136E-05 0.999995393\r\n" ); document.write( "30 30 0.23 0.77 118264581564861000 3.30683E-06 0.9999987\r\n" ); document.write( "31 29 0.23 0.77 114449595062769000 9.55891E-07 0.999999656\r\n" ); document.write( "32 28 0.23 0.77 103719945525635000 2.58758E-07 0.999999915\r\n" ); document.write( "33 27 0.23 0.77 88004802264174700 6.55805E-08 0.99999998\r\n" ); document.write( "34 26 0.23 0.77 69886166503903500 1.55559E-08 0.999999996\r\n" ); document.write( "35 25 0.23 0.77 51915437974328300 3.45175E-09 0.999999999\r\n" ); document.write( "36 24 0.23 0.77 36052387482172400 7.16001E-10 1\r\n" ); document.write( "37 23 0.23 0.77 23385332420868600 1.38727E-10 1\r\n" ); document.write( "38 22 0.23 0.77 14154280149473100 2.50808E-11 1\r\n" ); document.write( "39 21 0.23 0.77 7984465725343800 4.22607E-12 1\r\n" ); document.write( "40 20 0.23 0.77 4191844505805490 6.62725E-13 1\r\n" ); document.write( "41 19 0.23 0.77 2044802197953900 9.65642E-14 1\r\n" ); document.write( "42 18 0.23 0.77 925029565741050 1.30484E-14 1\r\n" ); document.write( "43 17 0.23 0.77 387221678682300 1.63154E-15 1\r\n" ); document.write( "44 16 0.23 0.77 149608375854525 1.88292E-16 1\r\n" ); document.write( "45 15 0.23 0.77 53194089192720 1.99976E-17 1\r\n" ); document.write( "46 14 0.23 0.77 17345898649800 1.94781E-18 1\r\n" ); document.write( "47 13 0.23 0.77 5166863427600 1.73306E-19 1\r\n" ); document.write( "48 12 0.23 0.77 1399358844975 1.40202E-20 1\r\n" ); document.write( "49 11 0.23 0.77 342700125300 1.0256E-21 1\r\n" ); document.write( "50 10 0.23 0.77 75394027566 6.73963E-23 1\r\n" ); document.write( "51 9 0.23 0.77 14783142660 3.94733E-24 1\r\n" ); document.write( "52 8 0.23 0.77 2558620845 2.0407E-25 1\r\n" ); document.write( "53 7 0.23 0.77 386206920 9.2009E-27 1\r\n" ); document.write( "54 6 0.23 0.77 50063860 3.56264E-28 1\r\n" ); document.write( "55 5 0.23 0.77 5461512 1.16091E-29 1\r\n" ); document.write( "56 4 0.23 0.77 487635 3.09611E-31 1\r\n" ); document.write( "57 3 0.23 0.77 34220 6.48991E-33 1\r\n" ); document.write( "58 2 0.23 0.77 1770 1.0027E-34 1\r\n" ); document.write( "59 1 0.23 0.77 60 1.01528E-36 1\r\n" ); document.write( "60 0 0.23 0.77 1 5.05441E-39 1\r\n" ); document.write( "\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "As far as I know there is no easier way to do this.\r \n" ); document.write( " \n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "It's a lot of grunt work after you figure out what the formula should be. \n" ); document.write( " |