document.write( "Question 199709This question is from textbook Using and Understanding Mathematics A Quantitative Reasoning Approach
\n" ); document.write( ": find the probability of the given event: Being dealt 5 cards from a standard 52-card deck and getting a four of a kind, (for example, four aces). \n" ); document.write( "
Algebra.Com's Answer #150082 by solver91311(24713)\"\" \"About 
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\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "For any 5 card poker hand, the probability is the number of different ways that hand can be dealt divided by the number of possible 5 card hands in a 52 card deck. Let's deal with the denominator first.\r
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\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "The number of possible 5 card hands dealt from a 52 card deck is given by the number of combinations of 52 things taken 5 at a time. The number of combinations of things taken at a time is:\r
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\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "So (and you should verify my arithmetic):\r
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\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "Now, let's deal with the numerator:\r
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\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "First, the number of ways you can choose which rank your 4 of a kind will be, namely combinations of 13 things taken 1 at a time.\r
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\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "(not surprisingly)\r
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\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "Then, the number of ways to draw the other three cards of that rank, namely combinations of 4 things taken 4 at a time.\r
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\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "Once you have decided on the rank, there's only one way to get the other three cards of that rank.\r
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\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "Finally, the number of ways to draw the last card. Once the 4 of a kind are selected, there are 48 other cards to choose, so the number of combinations of 48 things taken 1 at a time:\r
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\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "And the total number of ways is the product of each of these counts, so:\r
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\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "Giving us the numerator.\r
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\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "Your probability then is:\r
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\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "To put this in perspective, let's say you sat in on a poker game once per week and played 50 hands each time. You might expect to be dealt 2 or 3 hands with 4 of a kind in 4 years. Also, if one of the other guys seems to win a big pot with 4 of a kind every week, then someone is dealing off the bottom of the deck.\r
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\n" ); document.write( "\n" ); document.write( "By the way, if you wanted the probability of getting exactly 4 Aces, for example, then reduce the numerator of the above calculation by a factor of 13.\r
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